California Gov. Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, fueled by his 14-point edge over Kamala Harris in a March California primary poll and high-profile book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire, signaling national ambitions and a $25 million war chest. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, buoyed by progressive fundraising but tempered by Democratic pragmatists mobilizing against left-wing frontrunners. Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects youth and Georgia battleground appeal in a wide-open field post-2024. Consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm results, fundraising dominance, and endorsements from key caucuses, shaping paths to delegates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCandidato presidencial democrata 2028
Candidato presidencial democrata 2028
Gavin Newsom 24.3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%
Jon Ossoff 5.5%
Kamala Harris 4.4%
$940,173,647 Vol.
$940,173,647 Vol.
Nov 7, 2028
Ganhe 4%
Gavin Newsom
24%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
Jon Ossoff
6%
Kamala Harris
4%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Pete Buttigieg
4%
Andy Beshear
2%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
James Talarico
2%
Jon Stewart
2%
Mark Kelly
2%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Wes Moore
2%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Ro Khanna
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Rahm Emanuel
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Mark Cuban
1%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Zohran Mamdani
1%
LeBron James
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
George Clooney
1%
Liz Cheney
1%
MrBeast
1%
Roy Cooper
1%
Hillary Clinton
1%
Gina Raimondo
1%
Barack Obama
1%
Tim Walz
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Jared Polis
1%
Phil Murphy
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
Jasmine Crockett
1%
Raphael Warnock
1%
Bernie Sanders
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Gavin Newsom 24.3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%
Jon Ossoff 5.5%
Kamala Harris 4.4%
$940,173,647 Vol.
$940,173,647 Vol.
Nov 7, 2028
Ganhe 4%
Gavin Newsom
$16,655,741 Vol.
24%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$6,195,734 Vol.
8%
Jon Ossoff
$5,893,130 Vol.
6%
Kamala Harris
$8,735,804 Vol.
4%
Josh Shapiro
$5,918,582 Vol.
4%
Pete Buttigieg
$9,526,827 Vol.
4%
Andy Beshear
$6,325,138 Vol.
2%
J.B. Pritzker
$11,706,866 Vol.
2%
James Talarico
$3,867,490 Vol.
2%
Jon Stewart
$10,127,287 Vol.
2%
Mark Kelly
$11,068,215 Vol.
2%
Ruben Gallego
$3,606,130 Vol.
2%
Wes Moore
$13,525,960 Vol.
2%
Gretchen Whitmer
$7,200,581 Vol.
1%
Ro Khanna
$4,235,099 Vol.
1%
Michelle Obama
$21,448,295 Vol.
1%
Rahm Emanuel
$11,180,108 Vol.
1%
Cory Booker
$21,292,768 Vol.
1%
Mark Cuban
$17,765,089 Vol.
1%
Stephen A. Smith
$13,864,431 Vol.
1%
Oprah Winfrey
$43,292,665 Vol.
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
$8,779,628 Vol.
1%
John Fetterman
$17,008,004 Vol.
1%
Chris Murphy
$11,421,064 Vol.
1%
Zohran Mamdani
$33,038,135 Vol.
1%
LeBron James
$38,599,056 Vol.
1%
Chelsea Clinton
$44,481,897 Vol.
1%
George Clooney
$37,292,951 Vol.
1%
Liz Cheney
$32,149,654 Vol.
1%
MrBeast
$35,268,331 Vol.
1%
Roy Cooper
$24,751,992 Vol.
1%
Hillary Clinton
$37,451,475 Vol.
1%
Gina Raimondo
$27,426,352 Vol.
1%
Barack Obama
$25,906,899 Vol.
1%
Tim Walz
$36,534,710 Vol.
1%
Andrew Yang
$42,054,580 Vol.
1%
Kim Kardashian
$32,925,762 Vol.
1%
Jared Polis
$19,412,069 Vol.
1%
Phil Murphy
$33,452,976 Vol.
1%
Hunter Biden
$31,473,819 Vol.
1%
Jasmine Crockett
$22,454,035 Vol.
1%
Raphael Warnock
$24,592,460 Vol.
1%
Bernie Sanders
$38,759,522 Vol.
1%
Beto O’Rourke
$31,518,885 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Gov. Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, fueled by his 14-point edge over Kamala Harris in a March California primary poll and high-profile book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire, signaling national ambitions and a $25 million war chest. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, buoyed by progressive fundraising but tempered by Democratic pragmatists mobilizing against left-wing frontrunners. Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects youth and Georgia battleground appeal in a wide-open field post-2024. Consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm results, fundraising dominance, and endorsements from key caucuses, shaping paths to delegates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET
Volume
$940,173,647Data de Término
Nov 7, 2028Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Gov. Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, fueled by his 14-point edge over Kamala Harris in a March California primary poll and high-profile book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire, signaling national ambitions and a $25 million war chest. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, buoyed by progressive fundraising but tempered by Democratic pragmatists mobilizing against left-wing frontrunners. Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects youth and Georgia battleground appeal in a wide-open field post-2024. Consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm results, fundraising dominance, and endorsements from key caucuses, shaping paths to delegates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$940,173,647Data de Término
Nov 7, 2028Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
California Gov. Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, fueled by his 14-point edge over Kamala Harris in a March California primary poll and high-profile book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire, signaling national ambitions and a $25 million war chest. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, buoyed by progressive fundraising but tempered by Democratic pragmatists mobilizing against left-wing frontrunners. Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects youth and Georgia battleground appeal in a wide-open field post-2024. Consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm results, fundraising dominance, and endorsements from key caucuses, shaping paths to delegates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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