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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Jon Ossoff 5.8%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$931,813,936 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Jon Ossoff 5.8%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$931,813,936 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,408,851 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,068,340 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,790,667 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,603,389 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,804,338 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,425,380 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$3,460,277 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,594,620 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,688,937 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$6,013,394 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,869,591 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,510,822 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,428,282 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,183,643 Vol.

1%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,112,606 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,330,182 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,058,510 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,062,723 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$20,963,409 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,573,609 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,677,796 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,620,192 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,343,617 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,792,787 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,437,291 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,201,022 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,092,925 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$31,995,125 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,931,235 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,305,810 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,601,769 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,742,099 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,193,062 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,113,198 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,306,509 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,108,402 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,391,301 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,915,167 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,332,959 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,324,131 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,293,304 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,264,276 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,559,710 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,324,469 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus in the wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market, bolstered by his national book tour, $25 million fundraising war chest, and frequent media clashes with the Trump administration that have amplified his executive experience and anti-GOP messaging during the invisible primary. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ranks second with fervent progressive backing but encounters resistance from party centrists mobilizing to block left-wing firebrands over swing-state electability concerns. Jon Ossoff edges ahead of Kamala Harris and Josh Shapiro via his youth and Georgia battleground profile. Support could consolidate post-2026 midterms based on standout performances, endorsements, and polling shifts in early states like New Hampshire and South Carolina.

California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus in the wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market, bolstered by his national book tour, $25 million fundraising war chest, and frequent media clashes with the Trump administration that have amplified his executive experience and anti-GOP messaging during the invisible primary. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ranks second with fervent progressive backing but encounters resistance from party centrists mobilizing to block left-wing firebrands over swing-state electability concerns. Jon Ossoff edges ahead of Kamala Harris and Josh Shapiro via his youth and Georgia battleground profile. Support could consolidate post-2026 midterms based on standout performances, endorsements, and polling shifts in early states like New Hampshire and South Carolina.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus in the wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market, bolstered by his national book tour, $25 million fundraising war chest, and frequent media clashes with the Trump administration that have amplified his executive experience and anti-GOP messaging during the invisible primary. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ranks second with fervent progressive backing but encounters resistance from party centrists mobilizing to block left-wing firebrands over swing-state electability concerns. Jon Ossoff edges ahead of Kamala Harris and Josh Shapiro via his youth and Georgia battleground profile. Support could consolidate post-2026 midterms based on standout performances, endorsements, and polling shifts in early states like New Hampshire and South Carolina.

California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus in the wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market, bolstered by his national book tour, $25 million fundraising war chest, and frequent media clashes with the Trump administration that have amplified his executive experience and anti-GOP messaging during the invisible primary. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ranks second with fervent progressive backing but encounters resistance from party centrists mobilizing to block left-wing firebrands over swing-state electability concerns. Jon Ossoff edges ahead of Kamala Harris and Josh Shapiro via his youth and Georgia battleground profile. Support could consolidate post-2026 midterms based on standout performances, endorsements, and polling shifts in early states like New Hampshire and South Carolina.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" has generated $931.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.