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Vencedor da primária republicana CO-03

Market icon

Vencedor da primária republicana CO-03

NOVO
Polymarket
NOVO

Jeff Hurd

$4,728 Vol.

97%

Hope Scheppelman

$3,267 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jeff Hurd commands overwhelming trader consensus at 96.9% to win Colorado's 3rd Congressional District Republican primary on June 30, driven by challenger Hope Scheppelman's withdrawal on March 20 after President Trump's re-endorsement of Hurd—reversing his prior pullback over a tariff vote—and an offer for her to join the administration. This unification move by Trump, amid House GOP lobbying to protect the competitive general election seat, has left Hurd effectively unopposed, leveraging his incumbency and fundraising edge in the rural Western Slope district. Late challenges could arise from a new entrant before filing deadlines, reversal by Scheppelman, or scandal, though barriers remain high absent major shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,994
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jeff Hurd commands overwhelming trader consensus at 96.9% to win Colorado's 3rd Congressional District Republican primary on June 30, driven by challenger Hope Scheppelman's withdrawal on March 20 after President Trump's re-endorsement of Hurd—reversing his prior pullback over a tariff vote—and an offer for her to join the administration. This unification move by Trump, amid House GOP lobbying to protect the competitive general election seat, has left Hurd effectively unopposed, leveraging his incumbency and fundraising edge in the rural Western Slope district. Late challenges could arise from a new entrant before filing deadlines, reversal by Scheppelman, or scandal, though barriers remain high absent major shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,994
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária republicana CO-03" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jeff Hurd" at 97%, followed by "Hope Scheppelman" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da primária republicana CO-03" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária republicana CO-03," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária republicana CO-03" is "Jeff Hurd" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hope Scheppelman" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária republicana CO-03" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.