Canada's federal government has implemented tighter immigration controls under the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, stabilizing permanent resident admissions near 380,000 while cutting temporary resident targets by roughly 40 percent, including sharp reductions for international students and foreign workers. These measures aim to lower the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5 percent by year-end, reversing prior rapid growth driven by temporary inflows. Statistics Canada data confirm the first annual population decline on record occurred in 2025, with net outflows of temporary residents outweighing modest permanent gains and low fertility rates. The parliamentary budget officer projects flat overall growth for 2026, creating trader consensus that net change will likely remain negative or near zero amid ongoing policy enforcement and demographic headwinds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUp
Up
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's federal government has implemented tighter immigration controls under the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, stabilizing permanent resident admissions near 380,000 while cutting temporary resident targets by roughly 40 percent, including sharp reductions for international students and foreign workers. These measures aim to lower the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5 percent by year-end, reversing prior rapid growth driven by temporary inflows. Statistics Canada data confirm the first annual population decline on record occurred in 2025, with net outflows of temporary residents outweighing modest permanent gains and low fertility rates. The parliamentary budget officer projects flat overall growth for 2026, creating trader consensus that net change will likely remain negative or near zero amid ongoing policy enforcement and demographic headwinds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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