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War predictions & odds

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Joe Kent charged by April 30?

Joe Kent charged by April 30?

3%

$13.8K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 14 days

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$187K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

3%

April 30

$830K Vol.

$42.2K Liq.

Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group B

Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group B

50%

KRÜ Blaze

$0 Vol.

$322 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$38.6K Liq.

37

Ends in 2 months

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?

4%

$15.5K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

24%

December 31, 2026

$61.7K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

2%

$32M Vol.

$694K today

$1M Liq.

3

Ends in 14 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

8%

$31M Vol.

$261K today

$749K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

19%

$15M Vol.

$157K today

$448K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

6%

$150K Vol.

$120K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

25%

December 31

$266K Vol.

$29.7K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

5%

$1M Vol.

$465K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

14%

May 31

$732K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

41

Ends in about 1 month

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

93%

$541K Vol.

$60.1K Liq.

59

Ends in 2 months

Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?

Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?

17%

$24.0K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

8%

$94.2K Vol.

$18.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

9%

$58.3K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 14 days

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

28%

$200K Vol.

$25.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

10%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

79

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like War.

Polymarket currently hosts 214 active markets for War that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Joe Kent charged by April 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $91.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on War predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.