Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament?

UK Election

Politics

Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament?

Yes

$326k Vol.

1

Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election?

UK Election

Politics

Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election?

No

$564k Vol.

13

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (0-125)

UK Election

Politics

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (0-125)

0-24

$20.1k Vol.

Labour wins a majority of seats in UK election?

UK Election

Politics

Labour wins a majority of seats in UK election?

Yes

$224k Vol.

6

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

UK Election

World Affairs

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

>50%

$113k Vol.

4

Jeremy Corbyn elected to parliament in UK election?

UK Election

Global Elections

Jeremy Corbyn elected to parliament in UK election?

Yes

$38.0k Vol.

2

Will UK Election on July 4 be cancelled?

UK Election

Politics

Will UK Election on July 4 be cancelled?

No

$6.5k Vol.

1

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

UK Election

Politics

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k Vol.

5

Next UK prime minister?

UK Election

Politics

Next UK prime minister?

Rishi Sunak

$2m Vol.

6

# of Labour seats after UK Election? (450-525)

UK Election

Politics

# of Labour seats after UK Election? (450-525)

<450

$13.0k Vol.

# of Labour seats after UK Election? (325-450)

UK Election

Politics

# of Labour seats after UK Election? (325-450)

<325

$195k Vol.

Which party wins the most seats after UK Election?

UK Election

Elections

Which party wins the most seats after UK Election?

Labour

$2m Vol.

2

How many seats will the Lib Dems win in UK Election?

UK Election

Politics

How many seats will the Lib Dems win in UK Election?

<30

$37.5k Vol.

1

Which party wins second most seats in UK Election?

UK Election

Politics

Which party wins second most seats in UK Election?

Conservatives

$586k Vol.

9

When will UK election be held?

UK Election

Politics

When will UK election be held?

August or earlier

$82.7k Vol.

2

Reform share of votes in UK election?

UK Election

Politics

Reform share of votes in UK election?

>23%

$42.0k Vol.

Rishi Sunak out before next UK election?

UK Election

Politics

Rishi Sunak out before next UK election?

No

$80.9k Vol.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like UK Election.

Polymarket currently hosts 17 active markets for UK Election that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Next UK prime minister?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Next UK prime minister?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Keir Starmer. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on UK Election predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.