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Insolvency predictions & odds

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Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

7%

$125K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

49%

BMO

$20.5K Vol.

$69.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

3%

KeyBank

$481K Vol.

$32.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

57%

December 31, 2027

$473K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

33

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

62%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

45%

Beyond Meat

$131K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

21

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

22%

May 31

$134K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

10

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

87%

↑ 46

$854K Vol.

$109K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

80%

↓ 50

$23.2K Vol.

$27 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

8%

$142K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

20%

↑ $3

$635K Vol.

$29.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$120 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

17%

$1.4K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

55%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

34%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$535 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

56%

↓ 60

$697K Vol.

$160K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

17%

Frontier Airlines

$69.6K Vol.

$133K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

71%

$554K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

80%

↑ 14,000

$47.9K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

50%

King

$22 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Insolvency.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Insolvency that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Major CEX insolvent in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 62% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Insolvency predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.