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First Half predictions & odds

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Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

100%

70-75%

$268K Vol.

$61.7K Liq.

31

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

79%

Karen Bass

$14.4K Vol.

$156K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

62%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$4M Vol.

$399K Liq.

34

Ends in 5 months

Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?

57%

70k

$59.2K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

63%

Spencer Pratt

$10.5K Vol.

$92.5K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

2%

$17.0K Vol.

$26.5K Liq.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

32%

Romeu Zema

$282K Vol.

$260K Liq.

46

Ends in 5 months

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

6%

$47.0K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

6

Ends in 14 days

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

57%

None in 2026

$54.5K Vol.

$33.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

47%

Xavier Becerra

$29.1K Vol.

$105K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?

Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?

62%

$60

$37.9K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

69%

Anthropic

$54.7K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

15%

$65.5K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

32

Ends in 5 months

NBA: 2025-26 All-Defensive First Team

NBA: 2025-26 All-Defensive First Team

99%

Ausar Thompson

$1.1K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

NBA: 2025-26 All-NBA First Team

NBA: 2025-26 All-NBA First Team

99%

Victor Wembanyama

$1.6K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

31%

Lula da Silva <5%

$232K Vol.

$79.6K Liq.

10

Ends in 5 months

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

19%

$665 Vol.

$291 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?

Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?

36%

$1,000

$51.1K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?

First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?

7%

$1.3K Vol.

$26.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?

50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?

3%

$8.1K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

3

Ends in 14 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like First Half.

Polymarket currently hosts 174 active markets for First Half that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 62% chance to Flávio Bolsonaro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on First Half predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.