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Exploration predictions & odds

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SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

95%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$261K Liq.

36

Ends in 8 months

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?

78%

$9.9K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

94%

SpaceX

$70.3K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

1

Ends in over 1 year

IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

95%

SpaceX

$6M Vol.

$201K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

61%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$58.3K today

$19.1K Liq.

111

Ends in 2 months

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

97%

>$600M

$19M Vol.

$914K today

$586K Liq.

276

Ends in 2 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

1%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$2M Vol.

$39.3K Liq.

41

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

23%

December 31, 2026

$459K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

32

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

70%

↓ 0.0014

$105K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

92%

↓ 50

$23.2K Vol.

$69 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

13%

↑ 48

$143K Vol.

$74.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

16%

May 4

$45.7K Vol.

$60.8K Liq.

10

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

95%

Gold

$33.5K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

39%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$142 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

5%

↑ $3.00

$337K Vol.

$111K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 days

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

74%

↓ $2.80

$1.5K Vol.

$590 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

82%

↑ 14,000

$40.2K Vol.

$32.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

19%

↑ $3

$628K Vol.

$42.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on April 27?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on April 27?

53%

$96

$555 Vol.

$175 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

16%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$621 Liq.

263

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Exploration.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for Exploration that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SpaceX IPO by ___ ?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $34.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to >$600M. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Exploration predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.