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Employment predictions & odds

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Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

92%

Up

$25.4K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

8%

$215K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

35

Ends in 6 months

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

9%

6.0%

$443K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

14

Ends in 6 months

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

5%

$153K Vol.

$28.3K Liq.

23

Ends in 6 months

June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

37%

4.4%

$2.1K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

How many jobs added in June?

How many jobs added in June?

32%

50k – 100k

$3.0K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

16%

$65.6K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

14

Ends in 6 months

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

8%

$27.4K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

17

Ends in 6 months

Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?

Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?

1%

$40.1K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 11 days

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

38%

0-1.0%

$9.0K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

3%

$6.5K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

3

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

28%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$4.0K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

17%

$11.1K Vol.

$986 Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Employment.

Polymarket currently hosts 13 active markets for Employment that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How high will US unemployment go in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How high will US unemployment go in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 9% chance to 6.0%. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Employment predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.