Crash predictions & odds

Geopolitics·NATO

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$7M Vol.

$83.5K Liq.

226

Ends in 4 months

22%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$83.5K Liq.

226

Ends in 4 months

Tech·Big Tech

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

$71.9K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

46%

October 31

$71.9K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Military Actions

US x Russia military clash by...?

$2M Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Racing

Max vs 100

$92 Vol.

$289 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

74%

Verstappen overtakes all 100

$92 Vol.

$289 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Tech·Outage

Critical Discord Incident by...?

$9.6K Vol.

$428 Liq.

Ends in 16 days

13%

September 30

$9.6K Vol.

$428 Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs

$1.8K Vol.

50%

Odd

$1.8K Vol.

Tech·Big Tech

Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?

$398 Vol.

$310 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

11%

$398 Vol.

$310 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group C

$786 Vol.

$823 Liq.

94%

BORRACHEIROS

$786 Vol.

$823 Liq.

Tech·Outage

GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

$3.9K Vol.

$563 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

14%

October 31

$3.9K Vol.

$563 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Sports·Brazil Serie A

CR Flamengo vs. Red Bull Bragantino

$180 Vol.

$27.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

19%

Yes

$180 Vol.

$27.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Crypto·Liquidation

Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

$70.6K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$70.6K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Weather·Astroid

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$314K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

24%

$314K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: Glitchtech Esports vs QUAZAR (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

$5.8K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

53%

QUAZAR

$5.8K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Tech·Outage

Longest GitHub critical incident in September?

$16.5K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

34%

1-3 hours

$16.5K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Esports·Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: Trippy Main Telecom vs SCARZ (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 1 Group Stage

$413 Vol.

$46.4K Liq.

100%

SCARZ

$413 Vol.

$46.4K Liq.

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Basement Bobs (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

$893 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

53%

Drama eSports

$893 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Weather·Astroid

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$204K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

11%

$204K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Brazil Serie A

CR Flamengo vs. Red Bull Bragantino - Exact Score

$185 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

46%

Yes

$185 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: GoldRashers vs ZOTIX (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

$25.9K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

50%

GoldRashers

$25.9K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: UPGRADE vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

$5 Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

68%

UPGRADE

$5 Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Crash.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Crash that lets you track or trade on predictions like “NATO x Russia military clash by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “NATO x Russia military clash by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “NATO x Russia military clash by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 22% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Crash predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Crash shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “NATO x Russia military clash by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Crash prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “NATO x Russia military clash by...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Crash prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Crash predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

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Crash predictions & odds