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Caught predictions & odds

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Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

19%

$16.9K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

14

Ends in 13 days

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

62%

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco

$82.5K Vol.

$620 Liq.

2

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

9%

$321K Vol.

$49.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

80%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.4K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?

Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?

1%

$3.3K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 13 days

MLB: Stolen Bases Leader

MLB: Stolen Bases Leader

31%

Chandler Simpson

$5.7K Vol.

$44.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

8%

$50.9K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 18 - May 24)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 18 - May 24)

81%

Oil

$1.9K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?

Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?

2%

$13.3K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

65%

$262 Vol.

$80 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Obama arrested before 2027?

Obama arrested before 2027?

10%

$7.5K Vol.

$15.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Jack Doherty Prison Time?

Jack Doherty Prison Time?

59%

No Prison Time

$19.2K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

8

Ends in 6 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

96%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

51%

BET-M 33

$7.0K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

11%

$292K Vol.

$29.2K Liq.

45

Ends in 8 months

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

89%

200,000+

$146K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs eternal premium (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs eternal premium (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

50%

eternal premium

$0 Vol.

$320 Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

19%

$62.0K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

11%

$7.5K Vol.

$911 Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: Washed vs Sashi Academy (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Washed vs Sashi Academy (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

88%

Washed

$104 Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Caught.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Caught that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Evo Morales arrested by May 31”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 82% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Caught predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.