Team Vitality enters the IEM Cologne Major 2026 as the clear frontrunner at 44.5% implied probability, driven by their unmatched recent form across multiple 2026 events. The roster featuring apEX, ZywOo, ropz, flameZ, and mezii has secured several trophies this year, including back-to-back Major titles and a dominant IEM Rio grand final sweep over Team Spirit just weeks ago. This sustained dominance, paired with ZywOo’s elite individual play, has shaped trader consensus around their depth and consistency in high-stakes CS2 competition. Team Spirit follows at 17% on the strength of strong regional results and head-to-head resilience, while Natus Vincere and Falcons round out the top contenders amid a field where upsets remain possible in the Swiss-system stages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner
Vitality 45%
Team Spirit 17%
Natus Vincere 11.3%
Falcons 9%
$1,256,619 Vol.
$1,256,619 Vol.

Vitality
45%

Team Spirit
17%

Natus Vincere
11%

Falcons
9%

FURIA
5%

MOUZ
3%

PARIVISION
2%

The MongolZ
2%

FUT
2%

G2
1%

GamerLegion
1%

Aurora
1%

9z
1%

Legacy
1%

Astralis
1%

BetBoom
1%

BIG
<1%

Team Liquid
<1%

M80
<1%

SINNERS
<1%

TYLOO
<1%

paiN
<1%

B8
<1%

Monte
<1%

HEROIC
<1%

Sharks
<1%

NRG
<1%

Gaimin Gladiators
<1%

Lynn Vision
<1%

FlyQuest
<1%

MIBR
<1%

Thunder downunder
<1%
Vitality 45%
Team Spirit 17%
Natus Vincere 11.3%
Falcons 9%
$1,256,619 Vol.
$1,256,619 Vol.

Vitality
45%

Team Spirit
17%

Natus Vincere
11%

Falcons
9%

FURIA
5%

MOUZ
3%

PARIVISION
2%

The MongolZ
2%

FUT
2%

G2
1%

GamerLegion
1%

Aurora
1%

9z
1%

Legacy
1%

Astralis
1%

BetBoom
1%

BIG
<1%

Team Liquid
<1%

M80
<1%

SINNERS
<1%

TYLOO
<1%

paiN
<1%

B8
<1%

Monte
<1%

HEROIC
<1%

Sharks
<1%

NRG
<1%

Gaimin Gladiators
<1%

Lynn Vision
<1%

FlyQuest
<1%

MIBR
<1%

Thunder downunder
<1%
If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 12:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Team Vitality enters the IEM Cologne Major 2026 as the clear frontrunner at 44.5% implied probability, driven by their unmatched recent form across multiple 2026 events. The roster featuring apEX, ZywOo, ropz, flameZ, and mezii has secured several trophies this year, including back-to-back Major titles and a dominant IEM Rio grand final sweep over Team Spirit just weeks ago. This sustained dominance, paired with ZywOo’s elite individual play, has shaped trader consensus around their depth and consistency in high-stakes CS2 competition. Team Spirit follows at 17% on the strength of strong regional results and head-to-head resilience, while Natus Vincere and Falcons round out the top contenders amid a field where upsets remain possible in the Swiss-system stages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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