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 Science polymarkets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

2%

$6m Vol.

$55.6k today

$146k Liq.

267

Ends in 26 days

November 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

Weather

November 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

55%

1.20–1.24ºC

$789k Vol.

$16.2k Liq.

26

Ends in 6 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

36%

0

$295k Vol.

$23.9k Liq.

6

Ends in 26 days

2025 November 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science

Weather

2025 November 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

93%

3rd hottest

$817k Vol.

$27.6k Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Science

Weather

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

36%

2

$628k Vol.

$54.8k Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 year

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

90%

1900

$1m Vol.

$12.5k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Science

Weather

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

65%

December 31, 2025

$29.0k Vol.

$6.4k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

10%

$64.2k Vol.

$30.4k Liq.

8

Ends in about 1 year

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

96%

160-179

$398k Vol.

$26.9k Liq.

10

Ends in 26 days

New pandemic in 2025?

Science

Health

New pandemic in 2025?

2%

$244k Vol.

$21.5k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

4%

$276k Vol.

$7.2k Liq.

16

Ends in 26 days

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

2%

$91.7k Vol.

$5.8k Liq.

3

Ends in 26 days

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2025?

98%

4-6

$544k Vol.

$122k Liq.

12

Ends in 26 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

53%

8+

$30.2k Vol.

$69.0k Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Science

Crypto

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

6%

$43.3k Vol.

$8.3k Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 year

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

Science

Culture

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

93%

$106k Vol.

$10.2k Liq.

3

Ends in 26 days

SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?

2%

$292k Vol.

$6.5k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

Science

Pandemics

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

5%

$20.5k Vol.

$5.3k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

Science

Culture

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

1%

$684k Vol.

$27.7k Liq.

45

Ends in 26 days

Precipitation in NYC in December?

Science

Weather

Precipitation in NYC in December?

25%

4-5"

$6.0k Vol.

$3.8k Liq.

2

Ends in 26 days