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 Science polymarkets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

<1%

$8m Vol.

$86.4k today

$84.6k Liq.

450

Ends in 7 days

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

65%

2050

$1m Vol.

$11.0k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

Weather

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

68%

1.00–1.04ºC

$145k Vol.

$31.8k Liq.

Ends in 17 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

72%

2

$618k Vol.

$25.4k Liq.

13

Ends in 7 days

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by December 28?

Science

Weather

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by December 28?

57%

1

$21.5k Vol.

$6.9k Liq.

Ends in 4 days

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

Science

Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

71%

<1550

$91.5k Vol.

$3.5k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Precipitation in NYC in December?

Science

Weather

Precipitation in NYC in December?

66%

3-4"

$142k Vol.

$6.9k Liq.

5

Ends in 7 days

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

10%

$233k Vol.

$47.0k Liq.

23

Ends in about 1 year

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

Science

Culture

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

97%

$190k Vol.

$8.5k Liq.

10

Ends in 7 days

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

Science

Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

100%

$79.0k Vol.

$10.3k Liq.

21

Ends in 7 days

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Science

Weather

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

38%

2

$771k Vol.

$64.2k Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 year

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Science

SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

69%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$482k Vol.

$6.9k Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Science

Weather

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

25%

December 31, 2025

$65.4k Vol.

$1.6k Liq.

2

Ends in 7 days

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

Science

Culture

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

<1%

$818k Vol.

$41.7k Liq.

51

Ends in 7 days

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Science

Crypto

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

6%

$78.4k Vol.

$13.1k Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 year

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Science

Weather

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

5%

$174k Vol.

$88.5k Liq.

17

Ends in about 1 year

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

99%

160-179

$479k Vol.

$65.7k Liq.

11

Ends in 7 days

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2025?

99%

4-6

$558k Vol.

$129k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

2025 December 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science

Weather

2025 December 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

96%

4th or lower

$28.8k Vol.

$22.7k Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Precipitation in Seattle in December?

Science

Weather

Precipitation in Seattle in December?

75%

>8"

$1.0k Vol.

$2.2k Liq.

Ends in 7 days