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 Science polymarkets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

1%

$8m Vol.

$93.3k today

$82.3k Liq.

499

Ends in 7 days

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

66%

2050

$1m Vol.

$11.8k Liq.

Ends in 6 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

74%

2

$629k Vol.

$24.5k Liq.

13

Ends in 6 days

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

Weather

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

71%

1.00–1.04ºC

$147k Vol.

$39.5k Liq.

Ends in 16 days

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

Science

Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

76%

<1550

$92.1k Vol.

$4.5k Liq.

Ends in 19 days

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

99%

160-179

$485k Vol.

$35.0k Liq.

11

Ends in 7 days

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

Science

Culture

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

97%

$190k Vol.

$9.9k Liq.

10

Ends in 6 days

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

Science

Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

100%

$79.4k Vol.

$9.4k Liq.

21

Ends in 6 days

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by December 28?

Science

Weather

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by December 28?

59%

1

$21.9k Vol.

$9.6k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Precipitation in NYC in December?

Science

Weather

Precipitation in NYC in December?

63%

3-4"

$145k Vol.

$14.6k Liq.

5

Ends in 6 days

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Science

Weather

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

6%

$209k Vol.

$54.6k Liq.

17

Ends in about 1 year

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Science

Weather

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

38%

2

$772k Vol.

$84.2k Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 year

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

10%

$234k Vol.

$41.1k Liq.

24

Ends in about 1 year

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Science

Crypto

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

6%

$78.4k Vol.

$14.2k Liq.

5

Ends in about 1 year

New pandemic in 2025?

Science

Health

New pandemic in 2025?

<1%

$288k Vol.

$46.7k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Science

SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

71%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$483k Vol.

$6.6k Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Science

Weather

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

26%

December 31, 2025

$66.3k Vol.

$2.6k Liq.

2

Ends in 6 days

2025 December 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science

Weather

2025 December 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

97%

4th or lower

$29.2k Vol.

$32.9k Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Precipitation in Seattle in December?

Science

Weather

Precipitation in Seattle in December?

48%

7-8"

$1.4k Vol.

$1.6k Liq.

Ends in 6 days

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2025?

99%

4-6

$558k Vol.

$71.7k Liq.

Ends in 7 days