Market icon

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Market icon

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$147,730 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$147,730 Vol.

Polymarket

Stefan Brodie

$15 Vol.

60%

Donald Brodie

$0 Vol.

58%

Matt Gaetz

$10 Vol.

48%

Ryan Salame

$14,774 Vol.

40%

Daniel Penny

$0 Vol.

37%

Eric Adams

$39 Vol.

18%

Keonne Rodriguez

$7,930 Vol.

20%

Roger Ver

$417 Vol.

14%

Steve Bannon

$5,980 Vol.

19%

Bob Menendez

$43 Vol.

19%

Joe Exotic

$199 Vol.

16%

Martin Shkreli

$2,020 Vol.

10%

Young Thug

$12 Vol.

29%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$7,601 Vol.

8%

Elizabeth Holmes

$624 Vol.

8%

Nicolas Maduro

$4,316 Vol.

8%

Do Kwon

$12,625 Vol.

7%

Edward Snowden

$1,201 Vol.

7%

Derek Chauvin

$5,842 Vol.

6%

Diddy

$4,500 Vol.

6%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$30,992 Vol.

6%

Hunter Biden

$1,437 Vol.

5%

Antoine Massey

$303 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$43,490 Vol.

2%

Himself

$1,950 Vol.

2%

Julian Assange

$1,122 Vol.

2%

Roger Stone

$289 Vol.

39%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$147,730
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 27 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Stefan Brodie" at 60%, followed by "Donald Brodie" at 58%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" has generated $147.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?," browse the 27 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" is "Stefan Brodie" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Donald Brodie" at 58%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.