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Largest Democratic Margin of Victory

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Largest Democratic Margin of Victory

California Proposition 50 100.0%

Virginia Governor <1%

New Jersey Governor <1%

New York City Mayor <1%

Polymarket

$83,711 Vol.

California Proposition 50 100.0%

Virginia Governor <1%

New Jersey Governor <1%

New York City Mayor <1%

Polymarket

$83,711 Vol.

Virginia Governor

$54,279 Vol.

No

New Jersey Governor

$3,718 Vol.

No

California Proposition 50

$13,969 Vol.

Yes

New York City Mayor

$11,549 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the election or referendum won by Democrats with the highest margin of victory compared to the other listed events, all scheduled for November 4, 2025:

- Virginia Governor election
- Virginia House of Delegates election
- New Jersey Governor election
- New York City Mayor election
- California referendum “Proposition 50”

If the results of any of these elections are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will be resolved according to the results published thus far.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official election authority sources conducting the election.
Volume
$83,711
End Date
Nov 4, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 6, 2025, 12:14 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the election or referendum won by Democrats with the highest margin of victory compared to the other listed events, all scheduled for November 4, 2025: - Virginia Governor election - Virginia House of Delegates election - New Jersey Governor election - New York City Mayor election - California referendum “Proposition 50” If the results of any of these elections are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will be resolved according to the results published thus far. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official election authority sources conducting the election.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Largest Democratic Margin of Victory" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "California Proposition 50" at 100%, followed by "Virginia Governor" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Largest Democratic Margin of Victory" has generated $83.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Largest Democratic Margin of Victory," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Largest Democratic Margin of Victory" is "California Proposition 50" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Virginia Governor" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Largest Democratic Margin of Victory" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.