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Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

$1,305,422 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,305,422
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$1,305,422 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Hamnet

$152,504 Vol.

100%

One Battle After Another

$262,245 Vol.

99%

Sinners

$33,743 Vol.

99%

Marty Supreme

$40,753 Vol.

98%

Frankenstein

$52,829 Vol.

97%

Sentimental Value

$17,739 Vol.

96%

Bugonia

$51,481 Vol.

88%

The Secret Agent

$1,948 Vol.

81%

Train Dreams

$52,337 Vol.

81%

It Was Just an Accident

$43,452 Vol.

72%

F1

$41,209 Vol.

16%

Weapons

$31,654 Vol.

15%

Blue Moon

$0 Vol.

9%

Wicked: For Good

$76,329 Vol.

6%

Sorry Baby

$3,173 Vol.

6%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$45,930 Vol.

5%

Jay Kelly

$58,215 Vol.

5%

No Other Choice

$45,817 Vol.

4%

Nouvelle Vague

$6,478 Vol.

3%

A House of Dynamite

$17,555 Vol.

3%

The Smashing Machine

$26,719 Vol.

2%

Rental Family

$32,230 Vol.

2%

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

$4,439 Vol.

2%

Highest 2 Lowest

$23,011 Vol.

2%

The Lost Bus

$16,744 Vol.

2%

Anemone

$39,232 Vol.

1%

The Testament of Ann Lee

$26,663 Vol.

1%

Die My Love

$22,564 Vol.

1%

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

$7,831 Vol.

1%

Thunderbolts

$20,658 Vol.

1%

The Life of Chuck

$44,228 Vol.

1%

After the Hunt

$1,058 Vol.

<1%

Sound of Falling

$1,855 Vol.

<1%

Warfare

$1,679 Vol.

<1%

Novocaine

$1,121 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$1,305,422
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.