Oscars 2026: Best Actress Winner

$803,715 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026

Jessie Buckley 87%

Rose Byrne 9.3%

Emma Stone 1.1%

Renate Reinsve 1.1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Jessie Buckley
$90,446 Vol.
87%

Rose Byrne
$60,916 Vol.
9%

Emma Stone
$35,703 Vol.
1%

Renate Reinsve
$43,374 Vol.
1%

Jennifer Lawrence
$31,510 Vol.
1%

Kate Hudson
$64,239 Vol.
<1%

Eva Victor
$23,784 Vol.
<1%

Cate Blanchett
$25,837 Vol.
<1%

Tessa Thompson
$27,713 Vol.
<1%

June Squibb
$277,016 Vol.
<1%

Cynthia Erivo
$29,976 Vol.
<1%

Sydney Sweeney
$29,683 Vol.
<1%

Julia Roberts
$27,150 Vol.
<1%

Emily Blunt
$19,486 Vol.
<1%

Laura Dern
$16,882 Vol.
<1%

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Sep 29, 2025, 2:33 PM ET

Volume

$803,715

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

Created At

Sep 29, 2025, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$803,715 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026

Oscars 2026: Best Actress Winner

Jessie Buckley 87%

Rose Byrne 9.3%

Emma Stone 1.1%

Renate Reinsve 1.1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Jessie Buckley

$90,446 Vol.

87%

Rose Byrne

$60,916 Vol.

Emma Stone

$35,703 Vol.

Renate Reinsve

$43,374 Vol.

Jennifer Lawrence

$31,510 Vol.

Kate Hudson

$64,239 Vol.

<1%

Eva Victor

$23,784 Vol.

<1%

Cate Blanchett

$25,837 Vol.

<1%

Tessa Thompson

$27,713 Vol.

<1%

June Squibb

$277,016 Vol.

<1%

Cynthia Erivo

$29,976 Vol.

<1%

Sydney Sweeney

$29,683 Vol.

<1%

Julia Roberts

$27,150 Vol.

<1%

Emily Blunt

$19,486 Vol.

<1%

Laura Dern

$16,882 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$803,715

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

Created At

Sep 29, 2025, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

67%

Will Jessie Buckley be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

99%

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

78%

Beware of external links.

Oscars 2026: Best Actress Winner

Jessie Buckley
$90,446 Vol.
87%

Rose Byrne
$60,916 Vol.
9%

Emma Stone
$35,703 Vol.
1%

Renate Reinsve
$43,374 Vol.
1%

Jennifer Lawrence
$31,510 Vol.
1%

Kate Hudson
$64,239 Vol.
<1%

Eva Victor
$23,784 Vol.
<1%

Cate Blanchett
$25,837 Vol.
<1%

Tessa Thompson
$27,713 Vol.
<1%

June Squibb
$277,016 Vol.
<1%

Cynthia Erivo
$29,976 Vol.
<1%

Sydney Sweeney
$29,683 Vol.
<1%

Julia Roberts
$27,150 Vol.
<1%

Emily Blunt
$19,486 Vol.
<1%

Laura Dern
$16,882 Vol.
<1%

Market Context