Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Green Left (SF) at 75% implied probability for second place in Denmark's next Folketing election, driven by consistent recent polls positioning them as runner-up to the leading Social Democrats. Surveys from Voxmeter, Megafon, and Verian through late October 2024 show SF polling 16-20%—well ahead of Liberal Alliance (8-12%) and Venstre (7-10%)—bolstered by gains on climate policy, welfare expansion, and youth voter turnout amid government fatigue after two years of minority coalition strains. A fresh Megafon poll on October 28 reinforced this, with SF at 19.5% versus Social Democrats' 27.1%, while Liberal Alliance slipped amid internal debates; no snap election is scheduled before 2026, but steady SF momentum sustains the edge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedDenmark Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Denmark Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Green Left 75%
Liberal Alliance 15%
Venstre 8%
Moderates 2.4%
$92,801 Vol.
$92,801 Vol.

Green Left
75%

Liberal Alliance
15%

Venstre
8%

Moderates
2%

Inuit Ataqatigiit
1%

Union Party
1%

Naleraq
1%

Red–Green Alliance
1%

Social Democrats
1%

Danish People’s Party
1%

Danish Social Liberal Party
1%

Denmark Democrats
1%

Citizens’ Party
1%

Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
1%

Conservative People’s Party
<1%

The Alternative
<1%
Green Left 75%
Liberal Alliance 15%
Venstre 8%
Moderates 2.4%
$92,801 Vol.
$92,801 Vol.

Green Left
75%

Liberal Alliance
15%

Venstre
8%

Moderates
2%

Inuit Ataqatigiit
1%

Union Party
1%

Naleraq
1%

Red–Green Alliance
1%

Social Democrats
1%

Danish People’s Party
1%

Danish Social Liberal Party
1%

Denmark Democrats
1%

Citizens’ Party
1%

Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
1%

Conservative People’s Party
<1%

The Alternative
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Danish Folketing (unicameral national legislature) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Danish Folketing in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Danish government sources such as the Ministry of Interior and Health (https://www.valg.im.dk/) and Statistics Denmark (https://www.dst.dk/en).
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Green Left (SF) at 75% implied probability for second place in Denmark's next Folketing election, driven by consistent recent polls positioning them as runner-up to the leading Social Democrats. Surveys from Voxmeter, Megafon, and Verian through late October 2024 show SF polling 16-20%—well ahead of Liberal Alliance (8-12%) and Venstre (7-10%)—bolstered by gains on climate policy, welfare expansion, and youth voter turnout amid government fatigue after two years of minority coalition strains. A fresh Megafon poll on October 28 reinforced this, with SF at 19.5% versus Social Democrats' 27.1%, while Liberal Alliance slipped amid internal debates; no snap election is scheduled before 2026, but steady SF momentum sustains the edge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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