Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors Rick Jackson at 46.5% implied probability for the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary, with Lt. Gov. Burt Jones close behind at 38%, reflecting a fragmented field lacking conclusive statewide polling. This tightness stems from overlapping appeals to the GOP base—Jackson drawing grassroots conservative support amid perceptions of stronger Trump alignment, while Jones leverages incumbency, fundraising edges, and establishment ties from his 2022 statewide win. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger trails at 12.5% due to past election controversies alienating some primary voters. Separation could emerge from high-profile endorsements like those from former President Trump or Gov. Brian Kemp, first-quarter 2025 fundraising disclosures, or early 2026 straw polls ahead of the May primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRick Jackson 47%
Burt Jones 38%
Brad Raffensperger 13%
Chris Carr 1.2%
$230,806 Vol.
$230,806 Vol.
Rick Jackson
47%
Burt Jones
38%
Brad Raffensperger
13%
Chris Carr
1%
Gregg Kirkpatrick
1%
Ken Yasger
<1%
Leland Olinger II
<1%
Clark Dean
<1%
Rick Jackson 47%
Burt Jones 38%
Brad Raffensperger 13%
Chris Carr 1.2%
$230,806 Vol.
$230,806 Vol.
Rick Jackson
47%
Burt Jones
38%
Brad Raffensperger
13%
Chris Carr
1%
Gregg Kirkpatrick
1%
Ken Yasger
<1%
Leland Olinger II
<1%
Clark Dean
<1%
If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors Rick Jackson at 46.5% implied probability for the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary, with Lt. Gov. Burt Jones close behind at 38%, reflecting a fragmented field lacking conclusive statewide polling. This tightness stems from overlapping appeals to the GOP base—Jackson drawing grassroots conservative support amid perceptions of stronger Trump alignment, while Jones leverages incumbency, fundraising edges, and establishment ties from his 2022 statewide win. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger trails at 12.5% due to past election controversies alienating some primary voters. Separation could emerge from high-profile endorsements like those from former President Trump or Gov. Brian Kemp, first-quarter 2025 fundraising disclosures, or early 2026 straw polls ahead of the May primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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