The Weeknd's commanding 93.5% implied probability as Spotify's #2 global artist for March stems from his unbreakable streaming dominance, trailing only Taylor Swift on current monthly leaderboards, fueled by evergreen hits like "Blinding Lights"—Spotify's all-time most-streamed track—and steady catalog plays amid no major rival surges. Weekly charts through late March reinforce this, with Bad Bunny and Bruno Mars trailing far behind despite occasional viral boosts from collabs like "Die With A Smile." Trader consensus reflects low upset risk, but a late-month bombshell—such as an surprise album drop from Drake or Kendrick Lamar, or Bad Bunny's regional pull exploding globally—could theoretically flip the script before Spotify's official recap resolves the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated#2 Spotify artist in March?
#2 Spotify artist in March?
The Weeknd 94%
Bad Bunny 1.4%
Bruno Mars 1.4%
Kanye West <1%
$63,903 Vol.
$63,903 Vol.
The Weeknd
94%
Bad Bunny
1%
Bruno Mars
1%
Kanye West
<1%
Ed Sheeran
<1%
Noah Kahan
<1%
Taylor Swift
<1%
Billie Eilish
<1%
Kendrick Lamar
<1%
Drake
<1%
Lady Gaga
<1%
Rihanna
<1%
Coldplay
<1%
The Weeknd 94%
Bad Bunny 1.4%
Bruno Mars 1.4%
Kanye West <1%
$63,903 Vol.
$63,903 Vol.
The Weeknd
94%
Bad Bunny
1%
Bruno Mars
1%
Kanye West
<1%
Ed Sheeran
<1%
Noah Kahan
<1%
Taylor Swift
<1%
Billie Eilish
<1%
Kendrick Lamar
<1%
Drake
<1%
Lady Gaga
<1%
Rihanna
<1%
Coldplay
<1%
The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.
In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.
The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
Market Opened: Feb 26, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Weeknd's commanding 93.5% implied probability as Spotify's #2 global artist for March stems from his unbreakable streaming dominance, trailing only Taylor Swift on current monthly leaderboards, fueled by evergreen hits like "Blinding Lights"—Spotify's all-time most-streamed track—and steady catalog plays amid no major rival surges. Weekly charts through late March reinforce this, with Bad Bunny and Bruno Mars trailing far behind despite occasional viral boosts from collabs like "Die With A Smile." Trader consensus reflects low upset risk, but a late-month bombshell—such as an surprise album drop from Drake or Kendrick Lamar, or Bad Bunny's regional pull exploding globally—could theoretically flip the script before Spotify's official recap resolves the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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