Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 160 or more White House X posts during March 17-24, 2026, with 200+ at 40% and 180-199 at 29% implied probability, reflecting expectations of a highly active official account under a potential second Trump administration. Historical data indicates Trump's first-term White House averaged 10-20 posts daily during peak periods, far exceeding Biden-era norms of 4-8 per day, influencing bets on elevated volume from policy announcements and event coverage. Recent developments, including Trump's widening Polymarket lead (58% for 2024 popular vote win) post-debate and swing-state polling gains, reinforce this sentiment, though actual output hinges on unforeseen events that week and staff practices. Uncertainty persists given the distant timeframe.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhite House # posts March 17 - March 24, 2026?
White House # posts March 17 - March 24, 2026?
200+ 40%
180-199 29%
160-179 19.9%
140-159 8%
$60,273 Vol.
$60,273 Vol.
100-119
1%
120-139
2%
140-159
8%
160-179
20%
180-199
29%
200+
40%
200+ 40%
180-199 29%
160-179 19.9%
140-159 8%
$60,273 Vol.
$60,273 Vol.
100-119
1%
120-139
2%
140-159
8%
160-179
20%
180-199
29%
200+
40%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 160 or more White House X posts during March 17-24, 2026, with 200+ at 40% and 180-199 at 29% implied probability, reflecting expectations of a highly active official account under a potential second Trump administration. Historical data indicates Trump's first-term White House averaged 10-20 posts daily during peak periods, far exceeding Biden-era norms of 4-8 per day, influencing bets on elevated volume from policy announcements and event coverage. Recent developments, including Trump's widening Polymarket lead (58% for 2024 popular vote win) post-debate and swing-state polling gains, reinforce this sentiment, though actual output hinges on unforeseen events that week and staff practices. Uncertainty persists given the distant timeframe.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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