Trader consensus favors a 33°C high in Singapore on March 26 at 43% implied probability, closely trailed by 32°C at 34%, driven by the latest National Environment Agency (NEA) forecast predicting fair weather turning hazy with isolated showers, peaking near 33°C amid fading El Niño influences. Differentiating factors include afternoon convective activity—thundershowers common in equatorial Singapore's inter-monsoon period—which can cap highs at 32°C via evaporative cooling, versus clearer skies allowing urban heat island effects and suppressed sea breezes to push toward 34°C (13.5% odds). Historical March maxima average 32.5°C at Changi, with model ensembles showing tight 32-33°C spread due to high humidity limiting nocturnal recovery. Watch NEA's evening update for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
33°C 44%
32°C 33%
34°C 15%
31°C 5%
$36,285 Vol.
$36,285 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
33%
33°C
44%
34°C
15%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 44%
32°C 33%
34°C 15%
31°C 5%
$36,285 Vol.
$36,285 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
33%
33°C
44%
34°C
15%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a 33°C high in Singapore on March 26 at 43% implied probability, closely trailed by 32°C at 34%, driven by the latest National Environment Agency (NEA) forecast predicting fair weather turning hazy with isolated showers, peaking near 33°C amid fading El Niño influences. Differentiating factors include afternoon convective activity—thundershowers common in equatorial Singapore's inter-monsoon period—which can cap highs at 32°C via evaporative cooling, versus clearer skies allowing urban heat island effects and suppressed sea breezes to push toward 34°C (13.5% odds). Historical March maxima average 32.5°C at Changi, with model ensembles showing tight 32-33°C spread due to high humidity limiting nocturnal recovery. Watch NEA's evening update for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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