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Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 28?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

21°C 50.4%

22°C 43.5%

23°C 3.8%

24°C or higher 1.8%

Polymarket

$257,350 Vol.

21°C 50.4%

22°C 43.5%

23°C 3.8%

24°C or higher 1.8%

Polymarket

$257,350 Vol.

16°C

$18,286 Vol.

<1%

19°C

$27,284 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$33,030 Vol.

<1%

21°C

$24,404 Vol.

50%

22°C

$19,303 Vol.

44%

23°C

$22,667 Vol.

4%

24°C or higher

$19,686 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 21°C (55%) and 22°C (40%) as Shanghai's highest temperature today, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast ensemble projecting a daytime maximum near 21.5°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds advecting warmer moist air from subtropical regions. This marks a step up from yesterday's observed high of 15.5°C at nearby stations and aligns with a recent warming trend, including a 19.4°C peak on March 22 amid spring's transition from cooler averages around 13°C. Model consensus shows low spread, with minimal risk of sub-20°C outcomes due to favorable diurnal heating, though minor cloud increases or wind shifts could nudge toward 22°C. Official hourly data from Shanghai Pudong and Hongqiao stations will confirm the peak by evening.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 21°C (55%) and 22°C (40%) as Shanghai's highest temperature today, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast ensemble projecting a daytime maximum near 21.5°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds advecting warmer moist air from subtropical regions. This marks a step up from yesterday's observed high of 15.5°C at nearby stations and aligns with a recent warming trend, including a 19.4°C peak on March 22 amid spring's transition from cooler averages around 13°C. Model consensus shows low spread, with minimal risk of sub-20°C outcomes due to favorable diurnal heating, though minor cloud increases or wind shifts could nudge toward 22°C. Official hourly data from Shanghai Pudong and Hongqiao stations will confirm the peak by evening.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 21°C (55%) and 22°C (40%) as Shanghai's highest temperature today, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast ensemble projecting a daytime maximum near 21.5°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds advecting warmer moist air from subtropical regions. This marks a step up from yesterday's observed high of 15.5°C at nearby stations and aligns with a recent warming trend, including a 19.4°C peak on March 22 amid spring's transition from cooler averages around 13°C. Model consensus shows low spread, with minimal risk of sub-20°C outcomes due to favorable diurnal heating, though minor cloud increases or wind shifts could nudge toward 22°C. Official hourly data from Shanghai Pudong and Hongqiao stations will confirm the peak by evening.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 21°C (55%) and 22°C (40%) as Shanghai's highest temperature today, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast ensemble projecting a daytime maximum near 21.5°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds advecting warmer moist air from subtropical regions. This marks a step up from yesterday's observed high of 15.5°C at nearby stations and aligns with a recent warming trend, including a 19.4°C peak on March 22 amid spring's transition from cooler averages around 13°C. Model consensus shows low spread, with minimal risk of sub-20°C outcomes due to favorable diurnal heating, though minor cloud increases or wind shifts could nudge toward 22°C. Official hourly data from Shanghai Pudong and Hongqiao stations will confirm the peak by evening.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "21°C" at 50%, followed by "22°C" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 28?" has generated $257.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 28?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 28?" is "21°C" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "22°C" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.