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Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

80°F or higher 53%

78-79°F 31%

76-77°F 13%

74-75°F 2.5%

Polymarket

$15,960 Vol.

80°F or higher 53%

78-79°F 31%

76-77°F 13%

74-75°F 2.5%

Polymarket

$15,960 Vol.

61°F or below

$7,225 Vol.

1%

62-63°F

$1,724 Vol.

<1%

64-65°F

$664 Vol.

1%

66-67°F

$1,021 Vol.

1%

68-69°F

$707 Vol.

<1%

70-71°F

$344 Vol.

2%

72-73°F

$338 Vol.

2%

74-75°F

$1,350 Vol.

3%

76-77°F

$387 Vol.

13%

78-79°F

$619 Vol.

31%

80°F or higher

$1,582 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from NOAA project Denver's high temperature on March 28 reaching 80-82°F under a potent upper-level ridge centered over the Four Corners region, fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light winds conducive to record-challenging heat. This setup has driven trader consensus toward 57.5% implied probability for 80°F or higher, reflecting recent observational trends—Denver hit 72°F on March 26 amid building ridging—and alignment across GFS and European model runs showing minimal spread above 78°F. Historical March warmth in Denver averages 57°F, but analogs to prior ridge episodes support this spike; uncertainty lingers from potential high cloudiness or upstream disturbances, with fresh 00Z model updates expected overnight to refine trajectories.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,960
End Date
Mar 28, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:06 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from NOAA project Denver's high temperature on March 28 reaching 80-82°F under a potent upper-level ridge centered over the Four Corners region, fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light winds conducive to record-challenging heat. This setup has driven trader consensus toward 57.5% implied probability for 80°F or higher, reflecting recent observational trends—Denver hit 72°F on March 26 amid building ridging—and alignment across GFS and European model runs showing minimal spread above 78°F. Historical March warmth in Denver averages 57°F, but analogs to prior ridge episodes support this spike; uncertainty lingers from potential high cloudiness or upstream disturbances, with fresh 00Z model updates expected overnight to refine trajectories.

Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from NOAA project Denver's high temperature on March 28 reaching 80-82°F under a potent upper-level ridge centered over the Four Corners region, fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light winds conducive to record-challenging heat. This setup has driven trader consensus toward 57.5% implied probability for 80°F or higher, reflecting recent observational trends—Denver hit 72°F on March 26 amid building ridging—and alignment across GFS and European model runs showing minimal spread above 78°F. Historical March warmth in Denver averages 57°F, but analogs to prior ridge episodes support this spike; uncertainty lingers from potential high cloudiness or upstream disturbances, with fresh 00Z model updates expected overnight to refine trajectories.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "80°F or higher" at 49%, followed by "78-79°F" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?" has generated $16K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?" is "80°F or higher" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "78-79°F" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.