Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 28-30 at 44.5% implied probability, with 90-114 next at 22.5%, reflecting his recent moderated daily rhythm of 20-30 posts amid steady Tesla updates like Model Y's three-year best-seller streak and Full Self-Driving simulation insights shared today. This clusters below historical peaks of 60+ daily during feuds or launches, as no major controversies or xAI announcements have spiked volume in the past week. Lower bins trail due to consistent engagement without viral escalations; watch for end-month Tesla or SpaceX news that could drive a surge before the March 30 cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated65-89 41%
90-114 23%
40-64 20%
115-139 11%
NEW
$224,176 Vol.
NEW
$224,176 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<40
2%
40-64
20%
65-89
41%
90-114
23%
115-139
11%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 41%
90-114 23%
40-64 20%
115-139 11%
NEW
$224,176 Vol.
NEW
$224,176 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<40
$24,444 Vol.
2%
40-64
$14,063 Vol.
20%
65-89
$13,887 Vol.
41%
90-114
$7,680 Vol.
23%
115-139
$8,803 Vol.
11%
140-164
$9,291 Vol.
3%
165-189
$11,765 Vol.
1%
190-214
$15,180 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$48,128 Vol.
<1%
240+
$71,282 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 28-30 at 44.5% implied probability, with 90-114 next at 22.5%, reflecting his recent moderated daily rhythm of 20-30 posts amid steady Tesla updates like Model Y's three-year best-seller streak and Full Self-Driving simulation insights shared today. This clusters below historical peaks of 60+ daily during feuds or launches, as no major controversies or xAI announcements have spiked volume in the past week. Lower bins trail due to consistent engagement without viral escalations; watch for end-month Tesla or SpaceX news that could drive a surge before the March 30 cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$224,176End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 28-30 at 44.5% implied probability, with 90-114 next at 22.5%, reflecting his recent moderated daily rhythm of 20-30 posts amid steady Tesla updates like Model Y's three-year best-seller streak and Full Self-Driving simulation insights shared today. This clusters below historical peaks of 60+ daily during feuds or launches, as no major controversies or xAI announcements have spiked volume in the past week. Lower bins trail due to consistent engagement without viral escalations; watch for end-month Tesla or SpaceX news that could drive a surge before the March 30 cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$224,176End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 28-30 at 44.5% implied probability, with 90-114 next at 22.5%, reflecting his recent moderated daily rhythm of 20-30 posts amid steady Tesla updates like Model Y's three-year best-seller streak and Full Self-Driving simulation insights shared today. This clusters below historical peaks of 60+ daily during feuds or launches, as no major controversies or xAI announcements have spiked volume in the past week. Lower bins trail due to consistent engagement without viral escalations; watch for end-month Tesla or SpaceX news that could drive a surge before the March 30 cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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