Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 260-319 X posts by Elon Musk from March 27 to April 3, implying a 35-42 daily average, anchored by his recent rhythm of 25-54 posts per day with spikes like the confirmed 71 on March 27 amid SpaceX and Boring Company updates. This closely contested field reflects variability in his viral posting patterns—boosted by Tesla chip projects, political commentary, and platform tweaks—versus quieter stretches seen earlier in March. Key swing factors include potential catalysts like Starship developments or X revenue shifts, which could sustain high-volume days and favor upper bins, while a lull would tilt toward 240-279; traders weigh these against historical weekly precedents amid his skin-in-the-game cultural dominance on social media.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated260-279 14%
280-299 13%
300-319 12%
240-259 11.7%
$6,656,313 Vol.
$6,656,313 Vol.
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
1%
200-219
3%
220-239
8%
240-259
12%
260-279
14%
280-299
13%
300-319
12%
320-339
10%
340-359
8%
360-379
6%
380-399
5%
400-419
3%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 14%
280-299 13%
300-319 12%
240-259 11.7%
$6,656,313 Vol.
$6,656,313 Vol.
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
1%
200-219
3%
220-239
8%
240-259
12%
260-279
14%
280-299
13%
300-319
12%
320-339
10%
340-359
8%
360-379
6%
380-399
5%
400-419
3%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 260-319 X posts by Elon Musk from March 27 to April 3, implying a 35-42 daily average, anchored by his recent rhythm of 25-54 posts per day with spikes like the confirmed 71 on March 27 amid SpaceX and Boring Company updates. This closely contested field reflects variability in his viral posting patterns—boosted by Tesla chip projects, political commentary, and platform tweaks—versus quieter stretches seen earlier in March. Key swing factors include potential catalysts like Starship developments or X revenue shifts, which could sustain high-volume days and favor upper bins, while a lull would tilt toward 240-279; traders weigh these against historical weekly precedents amid his skin-in-the-game cultural dominance on social media.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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