Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 220-259 total X posts by Elon Musk from March 24-31, 2026, with 220-239 (24.1% implied probability) edging 240-259 (23.5%), reflecting his steady ~30 posts-per-day pace—120 already logged at 57% progress, up from 58 in the prior March 26-28 window. Recent catalysts include Musk's sharp replies to AI rivalries like Anthropic's OpenAI exodus coverage and cultural critiques of media bias, sustaining high engagement amid his pop culture dominance in tech-politics discourse. The razor-thin race hinges on late-period swings: viral SpaceX/Tesla updates or xAI breakthroughs could propel toward 260+, while a quieter focus on executive duties might cap below 220, underscoring the unpredictability of celebrity social media rhythms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated220-239 24.1%
240-259 24%
260-279 17%
280-299 14%
$4,762,696 Vol.
$4,762,696 Vol.
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
3%
200-219
10%
220-239
24%
240-259
24%
260-279
17%
280-299
14%
300-319
6%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
220-239 24.1%
240-259 24%
260-279 17%
280-299 14%
$4,762,696 Vol.
$4,762,696 Vol.
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
3%
200-219
10%
220-239
24%
240-259
24%
260-279
17%
280-299
14%
300-319
6%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 220-259 total X posts by Elon Musk from March 24-31, 2026, with 220-239 (24.1% implied probability) edging 240-259 (23.5%), reflecting his steady ~30 posts-per-day pace—120 already logged at 57% progress, up from 58 in the prior March 26-28 window. Recent catalysts include Musk's sharp replies to AI rivalries like Anthropic's OpenAI exodus coverage and cultural critiques of media bias, sustaining high engagement amid his pop culture dominance in tech-politics discourse. The razor-thin race hinges on late-period swings: viral SpaceX/Tesla updates or xAI breakthroughs could propel toward 260+, while a quieter focus on executive duties might cap below 220, underscoring the unpredictability of celebrity social media rhythms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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