Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 96.8% implied probability for no all-time high in WTI or Brent crude oil by April 30, driven by spot prices languishing around $90–$100 per barrel—roughly 35–40% below the 2008 peak of $147—following a sharp 9–10% plunge in Brent to $90.38 on April 17 amid Iran's foreign minister signaling de-escalation in regional tensions, easing supply disruption fears. EIA data for the week ending April 10 showed a modest 913,000-barrel crude draw to 463.8 million barrels, but ample OPEC+ production cuts failing to counter softening global demand signals. Tail risks include sudden Middle East escalation, major refinery outages, or severe weather disrupting Gulf output, though these remain low-probability catalysts with just 12 days to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCrude Oil all time high by April 30?
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
$285,035 Vol.
$285,035 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$285,035 Vol.
$285,035 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 96.8% implied probability for no all-time high in WTI or Brent crude oil by April 30, driven by spot prices languishing around $90–$100 per barrel—roughly 35–40% below the 2008 peak of $147—following a sharp 9–10% plunge in Brent to $90.38 on April 17 amid Iran's foreign minister signaling de-escalation in regional tensions, easing supply disruption fears. EIA data for the week ending April 10 showed a modest 913,000-barrel crude draw to 463.8 million barrels, but ample OPEC+ production cuts failing to counter softening global demand signals. Tail risks include sudden Middle East escalation, major refinery outages, or severe weather disrupting Gulf output, though these remain low-probability catalysts with just 12 days to resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volume
$285,035End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 96.8% implied probability for no all-time high in WTI or Brent crude oil by April 30, driven by spot prices languishing around $90–$100 per barrel—roughly 35–40% below the 2008 peak of $147—following a sharp 9–10% plunge in Brent to $90.38 on April 17 amid Iran's foreign minister signaling de-escalation in regional tensions, easing supply disruption fears. EIA data for the week ending April 10 showed a modest 913,000-barrel crude draw to 463.8 million barrels, but ample OPEC+ production cuts failing to counter softening global demand signals. Tail risks include sudden Middle East escalation, major refinery outages, or severe weather disrupting Gulf output, though these remain low-probability catalysts with just 12 days to resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$285,035End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 96.8% implied probability for no all-time high in WTI or Brent crude oil by April 30, driven by spot prices languishing around $90–$100 per barrel—roughly 35–40% below the 2008 peak of $147—following a sharp 9–10% plunge in Brent to $90.38 on April 17 amid Iran's foreign minister signaling de-escalation in regional tensions, easing supply disruption fears. EIA data for the week ending April 10 showed a modest 913,000-barrel crude draw to 463.8 million barrels, but ample OPEC+ production cuts failing to counter softening global demand signals. Tail risks include sudden Middle East escalation, major refinery outages, or severe weather disrupting Gulf output, though these remain low-probability catalysts with just 12 days to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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