Republican nominee Chris Gober, a Trump-endorsed attorney and former Elon Musk lawyer who won the March 3 primary outright with 51% against nine challengers, leads trader consensus at 83% implied probability in the TX-10 House general election on November 3, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean in suburban Austin-to-Houston counties historically held by retiring incumbent Michael McCaul for two decades. Democratic nominee Caitlin Rourk, an Army veteran, trails at 16.5% amid limited polling and forecasts rating the race Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, with odds anchored by partisan voter registration advantages, GOP fundraising edges, and base turnout expectations in this non-battleground seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,624 거래량
$14,624 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
83%
민주당
17%
$14,624 거래량
$14,624 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$5,772 거래량
83%
민주당
$8,852 거래량
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Chris Gober, a Trump-endorsed attorney and former Elon Musk lawyer who won the March 3 primary outright with 51% against nine challengers, leads trader consensus at 83% implied probability in the TX-10 House general election on November 3, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean in suburban Austin-to-Houston counties historically held by retiring incumbent Michael McCaul for two decades. Democratic nominee Caitlin Rourk, an Army veteran, trails at 16.5% amid limited polling and forecasts rating the race Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, with odds anchored by partisan voter registration advantages, GOP fundraising edges, and base turnout expectations in this non-battleground seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$14,624종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Chris Gober, a Trump-endorsed attorney and former Elon Musk lawyer who won the March 3 primary outright with 51% against nine challengers, leads trader consensus at 83% implied probability in the TX-10 House general election on November 3, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean in suburban Austin-to-Houston counties historically held by retiring incumbent Michael McCaul for two decades. Democratic nominee Caitlin Rourk, an Army veteran, trails at 16.5% amid limited polling and forecasts rating the race Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, with odds anchored by partisan voter registration advantages, GOP fundraising edges, and base turnout expectations in this non-battleground seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,624종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Chris Gober, a Trump-endorsed attorney and former Elon Musk lawyer who won the March 3 primary outright with 51% against nine challengers, leads trader consensus at 83% implied probability in the TX-10 House general election on November 3, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean in suburban Austin-to-Houston counties historically held by retiring incumbent Michael McCaul for two decades. Democratic nominee Caitlin Rourk, an Army veteran, trails at 16.5% amid limited polling and forecasts rating the race Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, with odds anchored by partisan voter registration advantages, GOP fundraising edges, and base turnout expectations in this non-battleground seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문