Recent NRCC polling from late April shows Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout tied with incumbent Democrat Don Davis at 41% in North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, with 17% undecided, underscoring the battleground dynamics post-2025 redistricting that shifted the eastern North Carolina seat to Lean Republican per Cook Political Report. Buckhout, a retired Army colonel who won a crowded GOP primary on March 3, benefits from National Republican Congressional Committee investment and early ad reservations, while Davis leverages incumbency and superior fundraising—$2.9 million cash-on-hand versus Buckhout's $1.5 million—but grapples with low name ID and local Democratic Party unfavorables. Trader consensus tilts slightly Republican amid generic ballot edges, with separation hinging on ad spending efficacy, veteran and rural turnout, and national midterm headwinds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
65%
Democratic Party
55%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$409 거래량
65%
Democratic Party
$80 거래량
55%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent NRCC polling from late April shows Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout tied with incumbent Democrat Don Davis at 41% in North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, with 17% undecided, underscoring the battleground dynamics post-2025 redistricting that shifted the eastern North Carolina seat to Lean Republican per Cook Political Report. Buckhout, a retired Army colonel who won a crowded GOP primary on March 3, benefits from National Republican Congressional Committee investment and early ad reservations, while Davis leverages incumbency and superior fundraising—$2.9 million cash-on-hand versus Buckhout's $1.5 million—but grapples with low name ID and local Democratic Party unfavorables. Trader consensus tilts slightly Republican amid generic ballot edges, with separation hinging on ad spending efficacy, veteran and rural turnout, and national midterm headwinds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
거래량
$489종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent NRCC polling from late April shows Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout tied with incumbent Democrat Don Davis at 41% in North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, with 17% undecided, underscoring the battleground dynamics post-2025 redistricting that shifted the eastern North Carolina seat to Lean Republican per Cook Political Report. Buckhout, a retired Army colonel who won a crowded GOP primary on March 3, benefits from National Republican Congressional Committee investment and early ad reservations, while Davis leverages incumbency and superior fundraising—$2.9 million cash-on-hand versus Buckhout's $1.5 million—but grapples with low name ID and local Democratic Party unfavorables. Trader consensus tilts slightly Republican amid generic ballot edges, with separation hinging on ad spending efficacy, veteran and rural turnout, and national midterm headwinds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$489종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent NRCC polling from late April shows Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout tied with incumbent Democrat Don Davis at 41% in North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, with 17% undecided, underscoring the battleground dynamics post-2025 redistricting that shifted the eastern North Carolina seat to Lean Republican per Cook Political Report. Buckhout, a retired Army colonel who won a crowded GOP primary on March 3, benefits from National Republican Congressional Committee investment and early ad reservations, while Davis leverages incumbency and superior fundraising—$2.9 million cash-on-hand versus Buckhout's $1.5 million—but grapples with low name ID and local Democratic Party unfavorables. Trader consensus tilts slightly Republican amid generic ballot edges, with separation hinging on ad spending efficacy, veteran and rural turnout, and national midterm headwinds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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