Incumbent Rep. Don Davis (D) holds a slim trader consensus edge at 53.5% over Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout's 43.0% in North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, reflecting a closely contested rematch in a GOP-redrawn battleground under the 2025 map designed to oust him. Davis's 2024 narrow victory despite the rightward shift, coupled with superior fundraising reported in April, bolsters his incumbency advantage among key Black voter blocs and rural moderates. A recent NRCC internal poll showing a dead heat with 17% undecideds highlights persistent uncertainty, even as GOP super PACs reserve nearly $10 million in ads; markets diverge slightly from this partisan survey, pricing in Davis's resilience amid national midterm dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
48%
Democratic Party
47%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$409 거래량
48%
Democratic Party
$80 거래량
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Don Davis (D) holds a slim trader consensus edge at 53.5% over Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout's 43.0% in North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, reflecting a closely contested rematch in a GOP-redrawn battleground under the 2025 map designed to oust him. Davis's 2024 narrow victory despite the rightward shift, coupled with superior fundraising reported in April, bolsters his incumbency advantage among key Black voter blocs and rural moderates. A recent NRCC internal poll showing a dead heat with 17% undecideds highlights persistent uncertainty, even as GOP super PACs reserve nearly $10 million in ads; markets diverge slightly from this partisan survey, pricing in Davis's resilience amid national midterm dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
거래량
$489종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Don Davis (D) holds a slim trader consensus edge at 53.5% over Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout's 43.0% in North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, reflecting a closely contested rematch in a GOP-redrawn battleground under the 2025 map designed to oust him. Davis's 2024 narrow victory despite the rightward shift, coupled with superior fundraising reported in April, bolsters his incumbency advantage among key Black voter blocs and rural moderates. A recent NRCC internal poll showing a dead heat with 17% undecideds highlights persistent uncertainty, even as GOP super PACs reserve nearly $10 million in ads; markets diverge slightly from this partisan survey, pricing in Davis's resilience amid national midterm dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$489종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Don Davis (D) holds a slim trader consensus edge at 53.5% over Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout's 43.0% in North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, reflecting a closely contested rematch in a GOP-redrawn battleground under the 2025 map designed to oust him. Davis's 2024 narrow victory despite the rightward shift, coupled with superior fundraising reported in April, bolsters his incumbency advantage among key Black voter blocs and rural moderates. A recent NRCC internal poll showing a dead heat with 17% undecideds highlights persistent uncertainty, even as GOP super PACs reserve nearly $10 million in ads; markets diverge slightly from this partisan survey, pricing in Davis's resilience amid national midterm dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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