Trader consensus prices "No" at 82% due to the absence of any corporate tax rate cut below the current 21% in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed July 4, 2025, which used reconciliation to extend individual Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions, restore 100% bonus depreciation and R&D expensing, but left the corporate rate intact amid fiscal concerns. As of March 2026, no new tax bill advances a further reduction to Trump's proposed 15-20% level, with reporting indicating dim prospects given narrow Republican majorities, rising deficits, and competing priorities like tariffs and appropriations ahead of November midterms. Lame-duck session offers a narrow window, but historical patterns show limited success for additional corporate reforms without supermajority support.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
はい
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 82% due to the absence of any corporate tax rate cut below the current 21% in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed July 4, 2025, which used reconciliation to extend individual Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions, restore 100% bonus depreciation and R&D expensing, but left the corporate rate intact amid fiscal concerns. As of March 2026, no new tax bill advances a further reduction to Trump's proposed 15-20% level, with reporting indicating dim prospects given narrow Republican majorities, rising deficits, and competing priorities like tariffs and appropriations ahead of November midterms. Lame-duck session offers a narrow window, but historical patterns show limited success for additional corporate reforms without supermajority support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 82% due to the absence of any corporate tax rate cut below the current 21% in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed July 4, 2025, which used reconciliation to extend individual Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions, restore 100% bonus depreciation and R&D expensing, but left the corporate rate intact amid fiscal concerns. As of March 2026, no new tax bill advances a further reduction to Trump's proposed 15-20% level, with reporting indicating dim prospects given narrow Republican majorities, rising deficits, and competing priorities like tariffs and appropriations ahead of November midterms. Lame-duck session offers a narrow window, but historical patterns show limited success for additional corporate reforms without supermajority support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
音量
$0終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 82% due to the absence of any corporate tax rate cut below the current 21% in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed July 4, 2025, which used reconciliation to extend individual Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions, restore 100% bonus depreciation and R&D expensing, but left the corporate rate intact amid fiscal concerns. As of March 2026, no new tax bill advances a further reduction to Trump's proposed 15-20% level, with reporting indicating dim prospects given narrow Republican majorities, rising deficits, and competing priorities like tariffs and appropriations ahead of November midterms. Lame-duck session offers a narrow window, but historical patterns show limited success for additional corporate reforms without supermajority support.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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