Russian forces have pressed incremental advances northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast after securing Hryshyne in mid-March, with reconnaissance groups reaching Novooleksandrivka's outskirts and unverified geolocated claims of entry into the village as of March 28. Ukrainian 92nd Assault Brigade reports ongoing drone strikes eliminating Russian troops attempting to infiltrate the direction. ISW's March 24 assessment confirms assaults toward Novooleksandrivka and nearby Shevchenko but no territorial control yet, with daily maps determining market resolution by March 31 if Russia captures any part of the settlement. Intense frontline fighting persists amid broader Russian pressure on Pokrovsk defenses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$12,895 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
March 31
18%
April 30
85%
$12,895 Vol.
March 31
$1,933 Vol.
18%
April 30
$10,962 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Novooleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.353724° N, 37.072518° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have pressed incremental advances northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast after securing Hryshyne in mid-March, with reconnaissance groups reaching Novooleksandrivka's outskirts and unverified geolocated claims of entry into the village as of March 28. Ukrainian 92nd Assault Brigade reports ongoing drone strikes eliminating Russian troops attempting to infiltrate the direction. ISW's March 24 assessment confirms assaults toward Novooleksandrivka and nearby Shevchenko but no territorial control yet, with daily maps determining market resolution by March 31 if Russia captures any part of the settlement. Intense frontline fighting persists amid broader Russian pressure on Pokrovsk defenses.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Novooleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.353724° N, 37.072518° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Mar 23, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
音量
$12,895終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Novooleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.353724° N, 37.072518° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have pressed incremental advances northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast after securing Hryshyne in mid-March, with reconnaissance groups reaching Novooleksandrivka's outskirts and unverified geolocated claims of entry into the village as of March 28. Ukrainian 92nd Assault Brigade reports ongoing drone strikes eliminating Russian troops attempting to infiltrate the direction. ISW's March 24 assessment confirms assaults toward Novooleksandrivka and nearby Shevchenko but no territorial control yet, with daily maps determining market resolution by March 31 if Russia captures any part of the settlement. Intense frontline fighting persists amid broader Russian pressure on Pokrovsk defenses.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Novooleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.353724° N, 37.072518° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
音量
$12,895終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have pressed incremental advances northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast after securing Hryshyne in mid-March, with reconnaissance groups reaching Novooleksandrivka's outskirts and unverified geolocated claims of entry into the village as of March 28. Ukrainian 92nd Assault Brigade reports ongoing drone strikes eliminating Russian troops attempting to infiltrate the direction. ISW's March 24 assessment confirms assaults toward Novooleksandrivka and nearby Shevchenko but no territorial control yet, with daily maps determining market resolution by March 31 if Russia captures any part of the settlement. Intense frontline fighting persists amid broader Russian pressure on Pokrovsk defenses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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