Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90.5% on an Alberta independence referendum in 2026, driven by the provincial government's clear rejection of secession plans. Premier Danielle Smith's United Conservative administration prioritizes sovereignty within Canada via the Alberta Sovereignty Within a United Canada Act, targeting federal overreach on energy and emissions rather than separation. Recent Angus Reid polling shows just 25-30% public support for independence, constrained by economic reliance on national pipelines and markets. No major party backs a vote, and Wildrose Independence Party efforts remain marginal post-2023 election. Ongoing federal-provincial disputes fuel grievances but lack traction for a ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
はい
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$0終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90.5% on an Alberta independence referendum in 2026, driven by the provincial government's clear rejection of secession plans. Premier Danielle Smith's United Conservative administration prioritizes sovereignty within Canada via the Alberta Sovereignty Within a United Canada Act, targeting federal overreach on energy and emissions rather than separation. Recent Angus Reid polling shows just 25-30% public support for independence, constrained by economic reliance on national pipelines and markets. No major party backs a vote, and Wildrose Independence Party efforts remain marginal post-2023 election. Ongoing federal-provincial disputes fuel grievances but lack traction for a ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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