Traders price Alberta joining the United States by the end of 2026 at just 2 percent, reflecting the absence of any organized campaign or public support for statehood. Alberta’s independence advocates focus on sovereignty as a standalone country rather than US accession, with polls showing only marginal backing for joining and Premier Danielle Smith explicitly rejecting that path. Legal obstacles include the Clarity Act’s referendum and negotiation requirements, First Nations treaty considerations, and the need for approvals from both Canadian federal authorities and the US Congress. Recent US official comments on energy ties have not translated into diplomatic steps, while an October 2026 referendum addresses only the start of a potential separation process. Late shifts remain possible through unforeseen bilateral agreements or rapid post-independence negotiations, though both face steep procedural and political barriers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
2% 確率
$2,190,478 Vol.
$2,190,478 Vol.
2026/12/30
はい
2% 確率
$2,190,478 Vol.
$2,190,478 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Traders price Alberta joining the United States by the end of 2026 at just 2 percent, reflecting the absence of any organized campaign or public support for statehood. Alberta’s independence advocates focus on sovereignty as a standalone country rather than US accession, with polls showing only marginal backing for joining and Premier Danielle Smith explicitly rejecting that path. Legal obstacles include the Clarity Act’s referendum and negotiation requirements, First Nations treaty considerations, and the need for approvals from both Canadian federal authorities and the US Congress. Recent US official comments on energy ties have not translated into diplomatic steps, while an October 2026 referendum addresses only the start of a potential separation process. Late shifts remain possible through unforeseen bilateral agreements or rapid post-independence negotiations, though both face steep procedural and political barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
音量
$2,190,478終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Traders price Alberta joining the United States by the end of 2026 at just 2 percent, reflecting the absence of any organized campaign or public support for statehood. Alberta’s independence advocates focus on sovereignty as a standalone country rather than US accession, with polls showing only marginal backing for joining and Premier Danielle Smith explicitly rejecting that path. Legal obstacles include the Clarity Act’s referendum and negotiation requirements, First Nations treaty considerations, and the need for approvals from both Canadian federal authorities and the US Congress. Recent US official comments on energy ties have not translated into diplomatic steps, while an October 2026 referendum addresses only the start of a potential separation process. Late shifts remain possible through unforeseen bilateral agreements or rapid post-independence negotiations, though both face steep procedural and political barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
音量
$2,190,478終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Traders price Alberta joining the United States by the end of 2026 at just 2 percent, reflecting the absence of any organized campaign or public support for statehood. Alberta’s independence advocates focus on sovereignty as a standalone country rather than US accession, with polls showing only marginal backing for joining and Premier Danielle Smith explicitly rejecting that path. Legal obstacles include the Clarity Act’s referendum and negotiation requirements, First Nations treaty considerations, and the need for approvals from both Canadian federal authorities and the US Congress. Recent US official comments on energy ties have not translated into diplomatic steps, while an October 2026 referendum addresses only the start of a potential separation process. Late shifts remain possible through unforeseen bilateral agreements or rapid post-independence negotiations, though both face steep procedural and political barriers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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