Trader consensus heavily favors Alberta remaining in Canada at 96.4% "No" odds, driven by formidable constitutional barriers under the Clarity Act requiring clear majority support, federal negotiations, and amendments involving all provinces—precedents like Quebec's failed referendums underscore the near-impossibility. Recent polls show only 25-30% backing independence, far short of viability, while Premier Danielle Smith emphasizes "sovereignty within a united Canada" and rejects U.S. statehood. A separatist petition for a provincial referendum gathered signatures but faced a court injunction on April 10 amid First Nations opposition, stalling momentum. Shifts would demand an improbable referendum victory, successful secession talks, and U.S. annexation amid geopolitical risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus heavily favors Alberta remaining in Canada at 96.4% "No" odds, driven by formidable constitutional barriers under the Clarity Act requiring clear majority support, federal negotiations, and amendments involving all provinces—precedents like Quebec's failed referendums underscore the near-impossibility. Recent polls show only 25-30% backing independence, far short of viability, while Premier Danielle Smith emphasizes "sovereignty within a united Canada" and rejects U.S. statehood. A separatist petition for a provincial referendum gathered signatures but faced a court injunction on April 10 amid First Nations opposition, stalling momentum. Shifts would demand an improbable referendum victory, successful secession talks, and U.S. annexation amid geopolitical risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
音量
$2,052終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus heavily favors Alberta remaining in Canada at 96.4% "No" odds, driven by formidable constitutional barriers under the Clarity Act requiring clear majority support, federal negotiations, and amendments involving all provinces—precedents like Quebec's failed referendums underscore the near-impossibility. Recent polls show only 25-30% backing independence, far short of viability, while Premier Danielle Smith emphasizes "sovereignty within a united Canada" and rejects U.S. statehood. A separatist petition for a provincial referendum gathered signatures but faced a court injunction on April 10 amid First Nations opposition, stalling momentum. Shifts would demand an improbable referendum victory, successful secession talks, and U.S. annexation amid geopolitical risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
音量
$2,052終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors Alberta remaining in Canada at 96.4% "No" odds, driven by formidable constitutional barriers under the Clarity Act requiring clear majority support, federal negotiations, and amendments involving all provinces—precedents like Quebec's failed referendums underscore the near-impossibility. Recent polls show only 25-30% backing independence, far short of viability, while Premier Danielle Smith emphasizes "sovereignty within a united Canada" and rejects U.S. statehood. A separatist petition for a provincial referendum gathered signatures but faced a court injunction on April 10 amid First Nations opposition, stalling momentum. Shifts would demand an improbable referendum victory, successful secession talks, and U.S. annexation amid geopolitical risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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