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icon for リクード・パーティー予選優勝者

リクード・パーティー予選優勝者

icon for リクード・パーティー予選優勝者

リクード・パーティー予選優勝者

エリ・コーヘン 100.0%

アミール・オハナ <1%

ニル・バルカット <1%

タリー・ゴットリブ <1%

Polymarket

$99,190 Vol.

エリ・コーヘン 100.0%

アミール・オハナ <1%

ニル・バルカット <1%

タリー・ゴットリブ <1%

Polymarket

$99,190 Vol.

icon for アミール・オハナ

アミール・オハナ

$30,622 Vol.

いいえ

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ニル・バルカット

$2,941 Vol.

いいえ

icon for タリー・ゴットリブ

タリー・ゴットリブ

$18,462 Vol.

いいえ

icon for イスラエル・カッツ

イスラエル・カッツ

$3,026 Vol.

いいえ

icon for ヤリブ・レヴィン

ヤリブ・レヴィン

$5,516 Vol.

いいえ

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モシェ・サアダ

$2,045 Vol.

いいえ

icon for エリ・コーヘン

エリ・コーヘン

$7,897 Vol.

はい

icon for ダビッド・アムサレム

ダビッド・アムサレム

$1,457 Vol.

いいえ

icon for ミキ・ゾハル

ミキ・ゾハル

$1,727 Vol.

いいえ

icon for ボアズ・ビスマス

ボアズ・ビスマス

$2,414 Vol.

いいえ

icon for アルモグ・コーヘン

アルモグ・コーヘン

$1,153 Vol.

いいえ

icon for アミハイ・チクリ

アミハイ・チクリ

$977 Vol.

いいえ

icon for ダビド・ビタン

ダビド・ビタン

$1,431 Vol.

いいえ

icon for シュロモ・カルヒ

シュロモ・カルヒ

$2,683 Vol.

いいえ

icon for ミリ・レゲブ

ミリ・レゲブ

$1,677 Vol.

いいえ

icon for ヨアヴ・キッシュ

ヨアヴ・キッシュ

$1,262 Vol.

いいえ

icon for クネセト選挙まで予備選なし

クネセト選挙まで予備選なし

$13,901 Vol.

いいえ

Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Eli Cohen secured first place in Likud’s August 17, 2026, primary for the Knesset slate, finishing well ahead of Amir Ohana and Yariv Levin after final vote counts showed strong support from party members. His organizational efforts among activists and unaffiliated voters drove the outcome, while Prime Minister Netanyahu expressed satisfaction with the results and no significant internal challenger emerged. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed primary developments, with the low probability assigned to no primary occurring before the October election. Late disputes over tally procedures or procedural appeals could theoretically alter slate positioning, though published results with full vote counts make such shifts improbable.

Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.

If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".

If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
音量
$99,190
終了日
2026/10/26
マーケット開始日
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Eli Cohen secured first place in Likud’s August 17, 2026, primary for the Knesset slate, finishing well ahead of Amir Ohana and Yariv Levin after final vote counts showed strong support from party members. His organizational efforts among activists and unaffiliated voters drove the outcome, while Prime Minister Netanyahu expressed satisfaction with the results and no significant internal challenger emerged. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed primary developments, with the low probability assigned to no primary occurring before the October election. Late disputes over tally procedures or procedural appeals could theoretically alter slate positioning, though published results with full vote counts make such shifts improbable.

Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.

If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".

If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
音量
$99,190
終了日
2026/10/26
マーケット開始日
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「リクード・パーティー予選優勝者」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「エリ・コーヘン」で100%、次いで「アミール・オハナ」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「リクード・パーティー予選優勝者」は$99.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 21, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「リクード・パーティー予選優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「リクード・パーティー予選優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「エリ・コーヘン」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「アミール・オハナ」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「リクード・パーティー予選優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。