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政治·予備選挙

NY -17民主党予備選挙優勝者

Market icon
政治·予備選挙

NY -17民主党予備選挙優勝者

ケイト・コンリー 54%

ベス・デビッドソン 20%

ピーター・チャツキー 13.8%

エフィー・フィリップス＝ステイリー 11.0%

Polymarket

$54,045 Vol.

ケイト・コンリー 54%

ベス・デビッドソン 20%

ピーター・チャツキー 13.8%

エフィー・フィリップス＝ステイリー 11.0%

Polymarket

$54,045 Vol.

ケイト・コンリー

$25,526 Vol.

54%

ベス・デビッドソン

$21,760 Vol.

20%

ピーター・チャツキー

$2,580 Vol.

14%

エフィー・フィリップス＝ステイリー

$807 Vol.

11%

マイク・サックス

$840 Vol.

1%

ジェシカ・レインマン

$719 Vol.

1%

ジョン・サリバン

$1,158 Vol.

1%

ジョン・カッペロ

$656 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Army veteran Cait Conley as the frontrunner at 56% to win New York's 17th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her special operations background, Hudson Valley roots, and endorsements including the LGBTQ+ Victory Fund in early March, positioning her for electability against incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in this swing district. Recent polls, such as a March 19 survey showing Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson up by six points and a late-March update affirming her as best-known, have boosted Davidson to 20%, yet traders discount these amid Conley's national security profile. Peter Chatzky at 13% faces headwinds from a March 19 New York Times report on his past bawdy Facebook posts, while Effie Phillips-Staley's progressive outreach garners 9%; further polls, fundraising disclosures, and potential consolidations ahead of early voting could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$54,045
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Army veteran Cait Conley as the frontrunner at 56% to win New York's 17th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her special operations background, Hudson Valley roots, and endorsements including the LGBTQ+ Victory Fund in early March, positioning her for electability against incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in this swing district. Recent polls, such as a March 19 survey showing Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson up by six points and a late-March update affirming her as best-known, have boosted Davidson to 20%, yet traders discount these amid Conley's national security profile. Peter Chatzky at 13% faces headwinds from a March 19 New York Times report on his past bawdy Facebook posts, while Effie Phillips-Staley's progressive outreach garners 9%; further polls, fundraising disclosures, and potential consolidations ahead of early voting could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$54,045
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「NY -17民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ケイト・コンリー」で54%、次いで「ベス・デビッドソン」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、54¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に54%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「NY -17民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$54Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「NY -17民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NY -17民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ケイト・コンリー」で54%であり、市場がこの結果に54%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ベス・デビッドソン」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NY -17民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。