In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, trader consensus favors former state Sen. Matt Little at 47% implied probability, reflecting his dominant 43% in a February DFL CD2 straw poll and deep local roots as ex-Lakeville mayor. Current state Sen. Matt Klein trails at 33.5%, buoyed by his physician background and legislative experience, while state Rep. Kaela Berg holds 18.4% amid a recent New York Times profile highlighting her flight attendant and union activist appeal. With no public polls, odds hinge on momentum toward the May 2 DFL CD2 endorsing convention, where party backing often shapes primary outcomes in this open seat race vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid. Yesterday's MPR segment underscored the tight contest among the top three.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日マット・リトル 41%
マット・クライン 38%
カエラ・バーグ 25.3%
$28,188 Vol.
$28,188 Vol.
2026/08/11
マット・リトル
46%
マット・クライン
38%
カエラ・バーグ
25%
マット・リトル 41%
マット・クライン 38%
カエラ・バーグ 25.3%
$28,188 Vol.
$28,188 Vol.
2026/08/11
マット・リトル
$19,904 Vol.
46%
マット・クライン
$6,338 Vol.
38%
カエラ・バーグ
$1,946 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, trader consensus favors former state Sen. Matt Little at 47% implied probability, reflecting his dominant 43% in a February DFL CD2 straw poll and deep local roots as ex-Lakeville mayor. Current state Sen. Matt Klein trails at 33.5%, buoyed by his physician background and legislative experience, while state Rep. Kaela Berg holds 18.4% amid a recent New York Times profile highlighting her flight attendant and union activist appeal. With no public polls, odds hinge on momentum toward the May 2 DFL CD2 endorsing convention, where party backing often shapes primary outcomes in this open seat race vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid. Yesterday's MPR segment underscored the tight contest among the top three.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
音量
$28,188終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, trader consensus favors former state Sen. Matt Little at 47% implied probability, reflecting his dominant 43% in a February DFL CD2 straw poll and deep local roots as ex-Lakeville mayor. Current state Sen. Matt Klein trails at 33.5%, buoyed by his physician background and legislative experience, while state Rep. Kaela Berg holds 18.4% amid a recent New York Times profile highlighting her flight attendant and union activist appeal. With no public polls, odds hinge on momentum toward the May 2 DFL CD2 endorsing convention, where party backing often shapes primary outcomes in this open seat race vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid. Yesterday's MPR segment underscored the tight contest among the top three.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$28,188終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, trader consensus favors former state Sen. Matt Little at 47% implied probability, reflecting his dominant 43% in a February DFL CD2 straw poll and deep local roots as ex-Lakeville mayor. Current state Sen. Matt Klein trails at 33.5%, buoyed by his physician background and legislative experience, while state Rep. Kaela Berg holds 18.4% amid a recent New York Times profile highlighting her flight attendant and union activist appeal. With no public polls, odds hinge on momentum toward the May 2 DFL CD2 endorsing convention, where party backing often shapes primary outcomes in this open seat race vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid. Yesterday's MPR segment underscored the tight contest among the top three.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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