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トランプ大統領は一般教書演説で何と言うでしょうか?

Market icon

トランプ大統領は一般教書演説で何と言うでしょうか?

$3,412,380 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$3,412,380 Vol.

Polymarket

America / American 50回以上

$253,722 Vol.

はい

America / American 25回以上

$344,560 Vol.

はい

仕事 20回以上

$118,366 Vol.

いいえ

ミリオン/ビリオン/トリリオン 15回以上

$159,242 Vol.

はい

バイデン 10回以上

$325,541 Vol.

いいえ

ボーダー7回以上

$50,581 Vol.

はい

オイル/ガス 3回以上

$34,362 Vol.

はい

AI / 人工知能 2回以上

$74,982 Vol.

はい

カマラ / ハリス

$47,442 Vol.

いいえ

ホッテスト

$84,491 Vol.

はい

ケネディ / 自閉症

$21,892 Vol.

いいえ

中東

$40,063 Vol.

いいえ

クリプト / ビットコイン

$330,713 Vol.

いいえ

イスラエル / ガザ

$51,940 Vol.

はい

MAGA/アメリカを再び偉大にしよう

$37,961 Vol.

いいえ

ブラック / ヒスパニック

$25,997 Vol.

いいえ

ゴールドカード / トランプカード

$43,826 Vol.

いいえ

国情は強い

$498,637 Vol.

いいえ

エプスタイン

$123,792 Vol.

いいえ

ミスター・スピーカー

$38,384 Vol.

いいえ

エッグ

$46,373 Vol.

はい

詐欺 / でっちあげ

$11,638 Vol.

はい

石炭

$27,237 Vol.

いいえ

シックスセブン

$93,163 Vol.

いいえ

ノー ノー ノー

$22,623 Vol.

はい

ノーベル/平和賞

$54,134 Vol.

はい

遅すぎる

$25,881 Vol.

いいえ

ピーナッツ

$16,638 Vol.

いいえ

クッキー

$10,686 Vol.

いいえ

IQ

$23,990 Vol.

いいえ

ステロイド

$8,987 Vol.

いいえ

エイリアン

$68,903 Vol.

はい

フェンタニル / コカイン

$7,317 Vol.

はい

オリンピック / オリンピックス

$36,044 Vol.

はい

最高裁判所

$11,027 Vol.

はい

$19,312 Vol.

はい

ドリル・ベイビー・ドリル

$17,304 Vol.

はい

イーライリリー

$5,746 Vol.

いいえ

オートペン / オート ペン

$10,211 Vol.

いいえ

UFC

$19,812 Vol.

いいえ

フェイクニュース

$27,451 Vol.

いいえ

ホッケー

$104,456 Vol.

はい

奇跡

$31,395 Vol.

はい

世界の首都

$5,559 Vol.

いいえ

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
音量
$3,412,380
終了日
Feb 24, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 23, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"トランプ大統領は一般教書演説で何と言うでしょうか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "America / American 50回以上" at 100%, followed by "America / American 25回以上" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "トランプ大統領は一般教書演説で何と言うでしょうか?" has generated $3.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "トランプ大統領は一般教書演説で何と言うでしょうか?," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "トランプ大統領は一般教書演説で何と言うでしょうか?" is "America / American 50回以上" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "America / American 25回以上" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "トランプ大統領は一般教書演説で何と言うでしょうか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.