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トランプ大統領は黒人歴史月間のレセプションで何と言いますか?

Market icon

トランプ大統領は黒人歴史月間のレセプションで何と言いますか?

$472,837 Vol.

Feb 18, 2026
Polymarket

$472,837 Vol.

Polymarket

ブラックアメリカン5回以上

$21,432 Vol.

はい

ビューティフル 5回以上

$9,518 Vol.

はい

奴隷 / 奴隷制

$13,321 Vol.

いいえ

スマート / 高いIQ

$129,639 Vol.

はい

株式市場

$18,280 Vol.

はい

犯罪

$9,024 Vol.

はい

BLM/ブラック・ライブズ・マター

$60,755 Vol.

いいえ

関税

$18,609 Vol.

いいえ

議会 / 政府閉鎖

$1,967 Vol.

いいえ

愛国者 / 英雄

$9,376 Vol.

はい

中間選挙

$1,889 Vol.

いいえ

VoterID / Voter ID

$4,724 Vol.

いいえ

テレビジョン / テレビ

$3,882 Vol.

いいえ

Love Trump

$7,244 Vol.

いいえ

国境

$18,583 Vol.

はい

バイデン

$12,483 Vol.

はい

ゴルフ/ゴルファー

$4,818 Vol.

いいえ

Hottest

$13,549 Vol.

はい

ジェシー / ジャクソン

$24,868 Vol.

はい

ガス / ガソリン

$10,256 Vol.

はい

帽子 / MAGA

$5,979 Vol.

はい

ブラックボート

$8,418 Vol.

いいえ

クリプト / ビットコイン

$64,224 Vol.

いいえ

Donald Trump is set to participate in the Black History Month reception on February 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on February 18, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a Black History Month Reception" on February 18, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "-No Qualifying Event-".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
音量
$472,837
終了日
Feb 18, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 17, 2026, 11:13 PM ET
Donald Trump is set to participate in the Black History Month reception on February 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on February 18, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a Black History Month Reception" on February 18, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "-No Qualifying Event-". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"トランプ大統領は黒人歴史月間のレセプションで何と言いますか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ブラックアメリカン5回以上" at 100%, followed by "ビューティフル 5回以上" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "トランプ大統領は黒人歴史月間のレセプションで何と言いますか?" has generated $472.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "トランプ大統領は黒人歴史月間のレセプションで何と言いますか?," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "トランプ大統領は黒人歴史月間のレセプションで何と言いますか?" is "ブラックアメリカン5回以上" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ビューティフル 5回以上" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "トランプ大統領は黒人歴史月間のレセプションで何と言いますか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.