President Trump's Truth Social activity from March 23-28 has been dominated by the U.S.-Iran crisis over Iran's attempted Strait of Hormuz closure, including his March 23 announcement of a temporary military pause after "productive" talks, followed by ultimatums for unconditional reopening and vows of retaliation "twenty times harder" on energy and nuclear sites. This aggressive foreign policy rhetoric, alongside critiques of Democratic opposition and NATO spending in nearly 100 overnight posts, drives trader consensus to 42% on "Bomb/Bomber," 32% on "Trump derangement/Trump deranged," and 30% on "Democrat Shutdown," as crowds price his event-responsive posting patterns. No exact phrases have matched yet, leaving room for March 29 updates amid ongoing diplomatic tensions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$92,147 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Nasty
14%
Boeing
3%
Ballroom
14%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
39%
Panican
29%
Free Tina Peters
26%
Epic Fury
26%
Bully of the Middle East
14%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
32%
Excursion
1%
Evil Empire
18%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
28%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
16%
Democrat Shutdown
28%
Bomb / Bomber
32%
Impeach / Impeachment
9%
Spain
7%
$92,147 Vol.
Nasty
$8,699 Vol.
14%
Boeing
$9,953 Vol.
3%
Ballroom
$5,612 Vol.
14%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
$5,667 Vol.
39%
Panican
$8,733 Vol.
29%
Free Tina Peters
$4,100 Vol.
26%
Epic Fury
$3,349 Vol.
26%
Bully of the Middle East
$4,215 Vol.
14%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
$1,548 Vol.
32%
Excursion
$1,880 Vol.
1%
Evil Empire
$863 Vol.
18%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
$3,430 Vol.
28%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$5,661 Vol.
16%
Democrat Shutdown
$8,072 Vol.
28%
Bomb / Bomber
$4,961 Vol.
32%
Impeach / Impeachment
$5,427 Vol.
9%
Spain
$9,978 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump's Truth Social activity from March 23-28 has been dominated by the U.S.-Iran crisis over Iran's attempted Strait of Hormuz closure, including his March 23 announcement of a temporary military pause after "productive" talks, followed by ultimatums for unconditional reopening and vows of retaliation "twenty times harder" on energy and nuclear sites. This aggressive foreign policy rhetoric, alongside critiques of Democratic opposition and NATO spending in nearly 100 overnight posts, drives trader consensus to 42% on "Bomb/Bomber," 32% on "Trump derangement/Trump deranged," and 30% on "Democrat Shutdown," as crowds price his event-responsive posting patterns. No exact phrases have matched yet, leaving room for March 29 updates amid ongoing diplomatic tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
音量
$92,147終了日
Mar 29, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump's Truth Social activity from March 23-28 has been dominated by the U.S.-Iran crisis over Iran's attempted Strait of Hormuz closure, including his March 23 announcement of a temporary military pause after "productive" talks, followed by ultimatums for unconditional reopening and vows of retaliation "twenty times harder" on energy and nuclear sites. This aggressive foreign policy rhetoric, alongside critiques of Democratic opposition and NATO spending in nearly 100 overnight posts, drives trader consensus to 42% on "Bomb/Bomber," 32% on "Trump derangement/Trump deranged," and 30% on "Democrat Shutdown," as crowds price his event-responsive posting patterns. No exact phrases have matched yet, leaving room for March 29 updates amid ongoing diplomatic tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
音量
$92,147終了日
Mar 29, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's Truth Social activity from March 23-28 has been dominated by the U.S.-Iran crisis over Iran's attempted Strait of Hormuz closure, including his March 23 announcement of a temporary military pause after "productive" talks, followed by ultimatums for unconditional reopening and vows of retaliation "twenty times harder" on energy and nuclear sites. This aggressive foreign policy rhetoric, alongside critiques of Democratic opposition and NATO spending in nearly 100 overnight posts, drives trader consensus to 42% on "Bomb/Bomber," 32% on "Trump derangement/Trump deranged," and 30% on "Democrat Shutdown," as crowds price his event-responsive posting patterns. No exact phrases have matched yet, leaving room for March 29 updates amid ongoing diplomatic tensions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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