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政治·プライマリ

バーモント州知事民主党予備選

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

バーモント州知事民主党予備選

マイク・ピエチャク 45%

チャリティ・クラーク 37%

エスター・シャルレスティン 3.3%

Polymarket
新規

マイク・ピエチャク 45%

チャリティ・クラーク 37%

エスター・シャルレスティン 3.3%

Polymarket
新規

マイク・ピエチャク

$0 Vol.

28%

チャリティ・クラーク

$0 Vol.

47%

エスター・シャルレスティン

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Vermont Attorney General Charity Clark at 47% to win the Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, in a closely contested field reflecting uncertainty over candidate entries ahead of the May 28 filing deadline. Clark's lead stems from her high name recognition, recent federal court victory alongside 21 states blocking restrictions on gender-affirming care (March 19), and public events signaling interest, positioning her as the strongest potential challenger to popular Republican incumbent Phil Scott. State Treasurer Mike Pieciak trails at 26.5% following early 2026 critiques of his readiness in local commentary, despite a divided October 2025 UNH poll on preferred nominees. Economist Amanda Janoo's March 10 announcement has yet to shift odds significantly.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Vermont Attorney General Charity Clark at 47% to win the Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, in a closely contested field reflecting uncertainty over candidate entries ahead of the May 28 filing deadline. Clark's lead stems from her high name recognition, recent federal court victory alongside 21 states blocking restrictions on gender-affirming care (March 19), and public events signaling interest, positioning her as the strongest potential challenger to popular Republican incumbent Phil Scott. State Treasurer Mike Pieciak trails at 26.5% following early 2026 critiques of his readiness in local commentary, despite a divided October 2025 UNH poll on preferred nominees. Economist Amanda Janoo's March 10 announcement has yet to shift odds significantly.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「バーモント州知事民主党予備選」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「チャリティ・クラーク」で47%、次いで「マイク・ピエチャク」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、47¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に47%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「バーモント州知事民主党予備選」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Dec 11, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「バーモント州知事民主党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「バーモント州知事民主党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「チャリティ・クラーク」で47%であり、市場がこの結果に47%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「マイク・ピエチャク」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「バーモント州知事民主党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。