Tom Sell leads trader consensus at 86% implied probability to win the TX-19 Republican primary runoff on May 26, after topping the March 3 first-round vote but falling short of a majority in the open seat race succeeding retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. His edge stems from securing the most votes initially, recent endorsements from eliminated candidates like Matthew Smith and Ryan Zink, and internal campaign polling highlighting momentum in this solidly Republican West Texas district. Abraham Enriquez, at 7%, advances as the Trump-aligned challenger focusing on national issues, while others linger below 3% post-elimination, reflecting traders' assessment of Sell's stronger path amid low turnout risks and local priorities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日トム・セル 85.9%
エイブラハム・エンリケス 6.9%
マシュー・スミス 2.4%
ライアン・ジンク 2.2%
$51,947 Vol.
$51,947 Vol.
2026/05/26
トム・セル
86%
エイブラハム・エンリケス
7%
マシュー・スミス
2%
ライアン・ジンク
2%
ドナルド・メイ
1%
ジェイソン・コーリー
1%
ジェームズ・バービー
1%
トム・セル 85.9%
エイブラハム・エンリケス 6.9%
マシュー・スミス 2.4%
ライアン・ジンク 2.2%
$51,947 Vol.
$51,947 Vol.
2026/05/26
トム・セル
$42,729 Vol.
86%
エイブラハム・エンリケス
$0 Vol.
7%
マシュー・スミス
$2,406 Vol.
2%
ライアン・ジンク
$1,202 Vol.
2%
ドナルド・メイ
$2,995 Vol.
1%
ジェイソン・コーリー
$0 Vol.
1%
ジェームズ・バービー
$2,615 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell leads trader consensus at 86% implied probability to win the TX-19 Republican primary runoff on May 26, after topping the March 3 first-round vote but falling short of a majority in the open seat race succeeding retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. His edge stems from securing the most votes initially, recent endorsements from eliminated candidates like Matthew Smith and Ryan Zink, and internal campaign polling highlighting momentum in this solidly Republican West Texas district. Abraham Enriquez, at 7%, advances as the Trump-aligned challenger focusing on national issues, while others linger below 3% post-elimination, reflecting traders' assessment of Sell's stronger path amid low turnout risks and local priorities.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
音量
$51,947終了日
2026/05/26マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell leads trader consensus at 86% implied probability to win the TX-19 Republican primary runoff on May 26, after topping the March 3 first-round vote but falling short of a majority in the open seat race succeeding retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. His edge stems from securing the most votes initially, recent endorsements from eliminated candidates like Matthew Smith and Ryan Zink, and internal campaign polling highlighting momentum in this solidly Republican West Texas district. Abraham Enriquez, at 7%, advances as the Trump-aligned challenger focusing on national issues, while others linger below 3% post-elimination, reflecting traders' assessment of Sell's stronger path amid low turnout risks and local priorities.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$51,947終了日
2026/05/26マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Sell leads trader consensus at 86% implied probability to win the TX-19 Republican primary runoff on May 26, after topping the March 3 first-round vote but falling short of a majority in the open seat race succeeding retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. His edge stems from securing the most votes initially, recent endorsements from eliminated candidates like Matthew Smith and Ryan Zink, and internal campaign polling highlighting momentum in this solidly Republican West Texas district. Abraham Enriquez, at 7%, advances as the Trump-aligned challenger focusing on national issues, while others linger below 3% post-elimination, reflecting traders' assessment of Sell's stronger path amid low turnout risks and local priorities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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