Trader consensus prices "No" at 99%, reflecting the absence of any credible developments in the past 30 days signaling President Trump's early departure from office before April 30. No health crises, impeachment proceedings, or resignation rumors have emerged since mid-March, amid ongoing legal challenges to administration actions that have not escalated to removal threats. Structural barriers remain formidable: House impeachment requires a simple majority but Senate conviction demands a two-thirds supermajority, a historical rarity unmet even in prior attempts. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events, a sudden scandal igniting bipartisan backlash, or voluntary resignation, though the tight 29-day window limits feasibility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$336,505 Vol.
$336,505 Vol.
2026/04/30
はい
$336,505 Vol.
$336,505 Vol.
2026/04/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99%, reflecting the absence of any credible developments in the past 30 days signaling President Trump's early departure from office before April 30. No health crises, impeachment proceedings, or resignation rumors have emerged since mid-March, amid ongoing legal challenges to administration actions that have not escalated to removal threats. Structural barriers remain formidable: House impeachment requires a simple majority but Senate conviction demands a two-thirds supermajority, a historical rarity unmet even in prior attempts. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events, a sudden scandal igniting bipartisan backlash, or voluntary resignation, though the tight 29-day window limits feasibility.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
音量
$336,505終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99%, reflecting the absence of any credible developments in the past 30 days signaling President Trump's early departure from office before April 30. No health crises, impeachment proceedings, or resignation rumors have emerged since mid-March, amid ongoing legal challenges to administration actions that have not escalated to removal threats. Structural barriers remain formidable: House impeachment requires a simple majority but Senate conviction demands a two-thirds supermajority, a historical rarity unmet even in prior attempts. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events, a sudden scandal igniting bipartisan backlash, or voluntary resignation, though the tight 29-day window limits feasibility.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$336,505終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 99%, reflecting the absence of any credible developments in the past 30 days signaling President Trump's early departure from office before April 30. No health crises, impeachment proceedings, or resignation rumors have emerged since mid-March, amid ongoing legal challenges to administration actions that have not escalated to removal threats. Structural barriers remain formidable: House impeachment requires a simple majority but Senate conviction demands a two-thirds supermajority, a historical rarity unmet even in prior attempts. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events, a sudden scandal igniting bipartisan backlash, or voluntary resignation, though the tight 29-day window limits feasibility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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