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政治·カナダ

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

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政治·カナダ

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow 71%

Brad Bradford 12%

Ana Bailão 6%

Michael Ford 3.7%

Polymarket
新規

Olivia Chow 71%

Brad Bradford 12%

Ana Bailão 6%

Michael Ford 3.7%

Polymarket
新規
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Olivia Chow

$2,316 Vol.

71%

Market icon

Brad Bradford

$175 Vol.

12%

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Ana Bailão

$1,514 Vol.

6%

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Michael Ford

$823 Vol.

4%

Market icon

John Tory

$81 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Kevin Clarke

$94 Vol.

2%

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Anthony Furey

$118 Vol.

2%

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Marco Mendicino

$116 Vol.

2%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands 71% trader consensus for the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election, driven by a March 10 Liaison Strategies poll showing her 44% support—an 18-point lead over Coun. Brad Bradford—after former Mayor John Tory's March 4 exit from contention cleared the center-right field without a dominant alternative. Earlier Abacus Data polling had shown a statistical tie between Chow and Bradford, but Tory's withdrawal and undecided voters (around 25%) appear to favor the incumbent's name recognition and progressive base consolidation amid housing and transit priorities. Bradford's 11.5% reflects his "all-in" challenger pitch, while fragmented support for Ana Bailão (6%), Michael Ford (3.7%), and others risks vote-splitting on the right, with nomination deadlines and debates ahead potentially shifting dynamics.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
音量
$5,236
終了日
2026/10/26
マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands 71% trader consensus for the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election, driven by a March 10 Liaison Strategies poll showing her 44% support—an 18-point lead over Coun. Brad Bradford—after former Mayor John Tory's March 4 exit from contention cleared the center-right field without a dominant alternative. Earlier Abacus Data polling had shown a statistical tie between Chow and Bradford, but Tory's withdrawal and undecided voters (around 25%) appear to favor the incumbent's name recognition and progressive base consolidation amid housing and transit priorities. Bradford's 11.5% reflects his "all-in" challenger pitch, while fragmented support for Ana Bailão (6%), Michael Ford (3.7%), and others risks vote-splitting on the right, with nomination deadlines and debates ahead potentially shifting dynamics.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
音量
$5,236
終了日
2026/10/26
マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Toronto Mayoral Election Winner」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Olivia Chow」で71%、次いで「Brad Bradford」が12%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、71¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に71%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Toronto Mayoral Election Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 1, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Toronto Mayoral Election Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Toronto Mayoral Election Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Olivia Chow」で71%であり、市場がこの結果に71%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Brad Bradford」で12%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Toronto Mayoral Election Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。