Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham commands 84.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the South Carolina Republican Senate primary on June 9, driven by his overwhelming fundraising edge—over $19 million raised versus challenger Mark Lynch's $5.5 million—and a recent endorsement from former President Trump on April 10, who praised Graham as a key ally while labeling Lynch a "disaster." That same day, Paul Dans, architect of Project 2025, withdrew his bid and endorsed Lynch, consolidating anti-incumbent support and elevating Lynch to 11.9%, though recent polls like Quantus Insights (Graham 58%, Lynch 15%) and others show Graham leading by double digits despite some soft support below 50% in a Lynch-commissioned survey. Thomas Murphy trails at 0.3% amid negligible momentum, underscoring incumbency and party backing as dominant factors ahead of early voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日リンジー・グラハム 85%
マーク・リンチ 11.9%
ポール・ダンス 1.7%
トーマス・マーフィー <1%
$100,798 Vol.
$100,798 Vol.
リンジー・グラハム
85%
マーク・リンチ
12%
ポール・ダンス
2%
トーマス・マーフィー
<1%
リンジー・グラハム 85%
マーク・リンチ 11.9%
ポール・ダンス 1.7%
トーマス・マーフィー <1%
$100,798 Vol.
$100,798 Vol.
リンジー・グラハム
85%
マーク・リンチ
12%
ポール・ダンス
2%
トーマス・マーフィー
<1%
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham commands 84.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the South Carolina Republican Senate primary on June 9, driven by his overwhelming fundraising edge—over $19 million raised versus challenger Mark Lynch's $5.5 million—and a recent endorsement from former President Trump on April 10, who praised Graham as a key ally while labeling Lynch a "disaster." That same day, Paul Dans, architect of Project 2025, withdrew his bid and endorsed Lynch, consolidating anti-incumbent support and elevating Lynch to 11.9%, though recent polls like Quantus Insights (Graham 58%, Lynch 15%) and others show Graham leading by double digits despite some soft support below 50% in a Lynch-commissioned survey. Thomas Murphy trails at 0.3% amid negligible momentum, underscoring incumbency and party backing as dominant factors ahead of early voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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