Vice President JD Vance leads narrowly in trader consensus at 17.6% implied probability for the 2028 presidential winner, just ahead of California Governor Gavin Newsom at 17.2%, reflecting his strong GOP positioning via recent CPAC and JL Partners straw polls where he captured 53% support as the administration's heir apparent. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 10.2% share has surged on foreign policy visibility amid the Iran conflict, contrasting Vance's stances and fueling speculation of a potential Vance-Rubio ticket. The fragmented field and distant November 2028 election keep odds tight, with 2026 midterms poised to separate contenders through incumbency advantages, turnout in swing states, and President Trump's endorsements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日JD・ヴァンス 17.6%
ギャビン・ニューサム 17.2%
マルコ・ルビオ 10.2%
アレクサンドリア・オカシオ＝コルテス 6.2%
$488,553,842 Vol.
$488,553,842 Vol.
2028/11/07
4%を獲得
JD・ヴァンス
18%
ギャビン・ニューサム
17%
マルコ・ルビオ
10%
アレクサンドリア・オカシオ＝コルテス
6%
ジョン・オソフ
3%
カマラ・ハリス
3%
タッカー・カールソン
3%
ドナルド・トランプ
2%
ジョシュ・シャピロ
2%
ピート・ブティジェッジ
2%
ロン・デサンティス
2%
アンディ・ベシア
1%
JBプリツカー
1%
ドウェイン・“ザ・ロック”・ジョンソン
1%
ジェームズ・タラリコ
1%
ミシェル・オバマ
1%
イーロン・マスク
1%
グレッチェン・ウィットマー
1%
ジェイミー・ダイモン
1%
グレッグ・アボット
1%
ウェス・ムーア
1%
イヴァンカ・トランプ
1%
ドナルド・トランプ・ジュニア
1%
ロ・カンナ
1%
トーマス・マッシー
1%
ニッキー・ヘイリー
1%
ティム・ウォルズ
1%
グレン・ヤンキン
1%
スティーブン・スミス
1%
トゥルシ・ギャバード
1%
ヴィベック・ラマスワミ
1%
ゾーラン・マムダニ
1%
エリック・トランプ
1%
レブロン・ジェームズ
1%
ピート・ヘグセス
1%
キム・カーダシアン
<1%
JD・ヴァンス 17.6%
ギャビン・ニューサム 17.2%
マルコ・ルビオ 10.2%
アレクサンドリア・オカシオ＝コルテス 6.2%
$488,553,842 Vol.
$488,553,842 Vol.
2028/11/07
4%を獲得
JD・ヴァンス
$9,662,333 Vol.
18%
ギャビン・ニューサム
$9,438,218 Vol.
17%
マルコ・ルビオ
$5,501,157 Vol.
10%
アレクサンドリア・オカシオ＝コルテス
$10,564,217 Vol.
6%
ジョン・オソフ
$3,172,211 Vol.
3%
カマラ・ハリス
$6,671,503 Vol.
3%
タッカー・カールソン
$9,624,174 Vol.
3%
ドナルド・トランプ
$6,727,286 Vol.
2%
ジョシュ・シャピロ
$5,430,543 Vol.
2%
ピート・ブティジェッジ
$3,537,950 Vol.
2%
ロン・デサンティス
$5,999,069 Vol.
2%
アンディ・ベシア
$16,026,959 Vol.
1%
JBプリツカー
$10,474,153 Vol.
1%
ドウェイン・“ザ・ロック”・ジョンソン
$5,793,703 Vol.
1%
ジェームズ・タラリコ
$3,873,714 Vol.
1%
ミシェル・オバマ
$13,444,931 Vol.
1%
イーロン・マスク
$22,234,668 Vol.
1%
グレッチェン・ウィットマー
$7,891,526 Vol.
1%
ジェイミー・ダイモン
$7,401,921 Vol.
1%
グレッグ・アボット
$31,589,164 Vol.
1%
ウェス・ムーア
$5,871,902 Vol.
1%
イヴァンカ・トランプ
$4,236,886 Vol.
1%
ドナルド・トランプ・ジュニア
$8,694,637 Vol.
1%
ロ・カンナ
$6,201,471 Vol.
1%
トーマス・マッシー
$3,504,012 Vol.
1%
ニッキー・ヘイリー
$21,353,338 Vol.
1%
ティム・ウォルズ
$38,876,501 Vol.
1%
グレン・ヤンキン
$20,096,878 Vol.
1%
スティーブン・スミス
$28,753,634 Vol.
1%
トゥルシ・ギャバード
$27,496,583 Vol.
1%
ヴィベック・ラマスワミ
$29,714,866 Vol.
1%
ゾーラン・マムダニ
$16,728,930 Vol.
1%
エリック・トランプ
$5,697,111 Vol.
1%
レブロン・ジェームズ
$43,774,384 Vol.
1%
ピート・ヘグセス
$2,487,144 Vol.
1%
キム・カーダシアン
$30,016,996 Vol.
<1%
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance leads narrowly in trader consensus at 17.6% implied probability for the 2028 presidential winner, just ahead of California Governor Gavin Newsom at 17.2%, reflecting his strong GOP positioning via recent CPAC and JL Partners straw polls where he captured 53% support as the administration's heir apparent. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 10.2% share has surged on foreign policy visibility amid the Iran conflict, contrasting Vance's stances and fueling speculation of a potential Vance-Rubio ticket. The fragmented field and distant November 2028 election keep odds tight, with 2026 midterms poised to separate contenders through incumbency advantages, turnout in swing states, and President Trump's endorsements.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
マーケット開始日： Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
音量
$488,553,842終了日
2028/11/07マーケット開始日
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance leads narrowly in trader consensus at 17.6% implied probability for the 2028 presidential winner, just ahead of California Governor Gavin Newsom at 17.2%, reflecting his strong GOP positioning via recent CPAC and JL Partners straw polls where he captured 53% support as the administration's heir apparent. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 10.2% share has surged on foreign policy visibility amid the Iran conflict, contrasting Vance's stances and fueling speculation of a potential Vance-Rubio ticket. The fragmented field and distant November 2028 election keep odds tight, with 2026 midterms poised to separate contenders through incumbency advantages, turnout in swing states, and President Trump's endorsements.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
音量
$488,553,842終了日
2028/11/07マーケット開始日
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vice President JD Vance leads narrowly in trader consensus at 17.6% implied probability for the 2028 presidential winner, just ahead of California Governor Gavin Newsom at 17.2%, reflecting his strong GOP positioning via recent CPAC and JL Partners straw polls where he captured 53% support as the administration's heir apparent. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 10.2% share has surged on foreign policy visibility amid the Iran conflict, contrasting Vance's stances and fueling speculation of a potential Vance-Rubio ticket. The fragmented field and distant November 2028 election keep odds tight, with 2026 midterms poised to separate contenders through incumbency advantages, turnout in swing states, and President Trump's endorsements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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