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政治·プライマリ

PA -03民主党予備選挙優勝者

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

PA -03民主党予備選挙優勝者

シャリフ・ストリート 40%

クリス・ラブ 32.1%

アラ・スタンフォード 29.0%

モーガン・セファス 3.5%

Polymarket

$19,318 Vol.

シャリフ・ストリート 40%

クリス・ラブ 32.1%

アラ・スタンフォード 29.0%

モーガン・セファス 3.5%

Polymarket

$19,318 Vol.

シャリフ・ストリート

$4,335 Vol.

40%

クリス・ラブ

$1,859 Vol.

32%

アラ・スタンフォード

$1,675 Vol.

24%

モーガン・セファス

$1,011 Vol.

4%

デイビッド・オックスマン

$3,939 Vol.

1%

ロビン・トールデンズ

$3,139 Vol.

1%

ガブリエル・カセレス

$3,360 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus favors state Sen. Sharif Street at 40.5% implied probability due to his strong establishment backing from the Philadelphia Democratic Party, labor unions like the building trades, Black clergy groups, and former Gov. Ed Rendell, bolstered by his name recognition as son of ex-Mayor John Street and party chair. State Rep. Chris Rabb has narrowed the gap to 32.5% with a surge of recent progressive endorsements in late March, including Justice Democrats, Working Families Party, U.S. Rep. Summer Lee, and Philadelphia City Council progressives Kendra Brooks and Nicolas O'Rourke, positioning him as an anti-establishment alternative. State Rep. Ala Stanford holds at 24.3%, aided by her top ballot position, public health profile from the Black Doctors COVID-19 Consortium, and endorsement from dropout Dave Oxman. The tight contest reflects a fragmented field in this deep-blue open seat, with no public polls and overlapping voter bases; upcoming WHYY debate on April 29 and Q1 fundraising reports could create separation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$19,318
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus favors state Sen. Sharif Street at 40.5% implied probability due to his strong establishment backing from the Philadelphia Democratic Party, labor unions like the building trades, Black clergy groups, and former Gov. Ed Rendell, bolstered by his name recognition as son of ex-Mayor John Street and party chair. State Rep. Chris Rabb has narrowed the gap to 32.5% with a surge of recent progressive endorsements in late March, including Justice Democrats, Working Families Party, U.S. Rep. Summer Lee, and Philadelphia City Council progressives Kendra Brooks and Nicolas O'Rourke, positioning him as an anti-establishment alternative. State Rep. Ala Stanford holds at 24.3%, aided by her top ballot position, public health profile from the Black Doctors COVID-19 Consortium, and endorsement from dropout Dave Oxman. The tight contest reflects a fragmented field in this deep-blue open seat, with no public polls and overlapping voter bases; upcoming WHYY debate on April 29 and Q1 fundraising reports could create separation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$19,318
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「PA -03民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「シャリフ・ストリート」で40%、次いで「クリス・ラブ」が32%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、40¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に40%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「PA -03民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$19.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「PA -03民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「PA -03民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「シャリフ・ストリート」で40%であり、市場がこの結果に40%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「クリス・ラブ」で32%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「PA -03民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。