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オクラホマ州知事民主党予備選

Market icon

オクラホマ州知事民主党予備選

$31,325 Vol.

Polymarket

$31,325 Vol.

シンディ・マンソン

$15,341 Vol.

85%

アーヤ・アズマ

$15,984 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Oklahoma House Democratic Leader Cyndi Munson solidified her frontrunner status in the June 16 Democratic gubernatorial primary following the April 3 closure of candidate filing, where she officially entered after nearly a year of statewide campaigning and grassroots organizing. As the party's top elected official with strong name recognition and institutional support, traders reflect this dominance at 84.5% implied probability, viewing her path to nomination as straightforward amid limited challengers. Securities trader Arya Azma, a 2022 U.S. Senate primary candidate, trails at 2.5% despite filing, lacking comparable party backing or polling visibility in Oklahoma's low-turnout Democratic primaries. No recent surveys exist, but historical base rates favor established leaders in uncontested fields.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$31,325
終了日
2026/06/16
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Oklahoma House Democratic Leader Cyndi Munson solidified her frontrunner status in the June 16 Democratic gubernatorial primary following the April 3 closure of candidate filing, where she officially entered after nearly a year of statewide campaigning and grassroots organizing. As the party's top elected official with strong name recognition and institutional support, traders reflect this dominance at 84.5% implied probability, viewing her path to nomination as straightforward amid limited challengers. Securities trader Arya Azma, a 2022 U.S. Senate primary candidate, trails at 2.5% despite filing, lacking comparable party backing or polling visibility in Oklahoma's low-turnout Democratic primaries. No recent surveys exist, but historical base rates favor established leaders in uncontested fields.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$31,325
終了日
2026/06/16
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「オクラホマ州知事民主党予備選」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「シンディ・マンソン」で85%、次いで「アーヤ・アズマ」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、85¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に85%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「オクラホマ州知事民主党予備選」は$31.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 4, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「オクラホマ州知事民主党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「オクラホマ州知事民主党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「シンディ・マンソン」で85%であり、市場がこの結果に85%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「アーヤ・アズマ」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「オクラホマ州知事民主党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。