Recent March polls showing Democratic nominee Amy Acton leading Republican Vivek Ramaswamy by margins of 46–53% to 43–45%—including EMC Research (53-43%) and Quantus Insights (46-45%)—have boosted trader consensus to 58% implied probability for a Democratic governor, reflecting Ohio's battleground status despite the GOP's hold on the office since 2011. Forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted ratings toward Democrats this month, citing Acton's formidable campaign against Ramaswamy's national profile baggage, post-primary after term-limited incumbent Mike DeWine. High fundraising signals an expensive race, with the November 3 general election and potential debates as key upcoming events that could tip the closely contested balance in this swing state.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$69,976 Vol.
$69,976 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
58%
共和党
41%
$69,976 Vol.
$69,976 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$35,813 Vol.
58%
共和党
$34,163 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent March polls showing Democratic nominee Amy Acton leading Republican Vivek Ramaswamy by margins of 46–53% to 43–45%—including EMC Research (53-43%) and Quantus Insights (46-45%)—have boosted trader consensus to 58% implied probability for a Democratic governor, reflecting Ohio's battleground status despite the GOP's hold on the office since 2011. Forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted ratings toward Democrats this month, citing Acton's formidable campaign against Ramaswamy's national profile baggage, post-primary after term-limited incumbent Mike DeWine. High fundraising signals an expensive race, with the November 3 general election and potential debates as key upcoming events that could tip the closely contested balance in this swing state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
音量
$69,976終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent March polls showing Democratic nominee Amy Acton leading Republican Vivek Ramaswamy by margins of 46–53% to 43–45%—including EMC Research (53-43%) and Quantus Insights (46-45%)—have boosted trader consensus to 58% implied probability for a Democratic governor, reflecting Ohio's battleground status despite the GOP's hold on the office since 2011. Forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted ratings toward Democrats this month, citing Acton's formidable campaign against Ramaswamy's national profile baggage, post-primary after term-limited incumbent Mike DeWine. High fundraising signals an expensive race, with the November 3 general election and potential debates as key upcoming events that could tip the closely contested balance in this swing state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$69,976終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent March polls showing Democratic nominee Amy Acton leading Republican Vivek Ramaswamy by margins of 46–53% to 43–45%—including EMC Research (53-43%) and Quantus Insights (46-45%)—have boosted trader consensus to 58% implied probability for a Democratic governor, reflecting Ohio's battleground status despite the GOP's hold on the office since 2011. Forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted ratings toward Democrats this month, citing Acton's formidable campaign against Ramaswamy's national profile baggage, post-primary after term-limited incumbent Mike DeWine. High fundraising signals an expensive race, with the November 3 general election and potential debates as key upcoming events that could tip the closely contested balance in this swing state.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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